Bitcoin - Ready for a 10% drop! (sell now)Bitcoin has been going slightly up in the recent weeks, but the structure of the uptrend seems to be corrective rather than impulsive. Signs of a corrective trend are overlapping swings, huge retracements between waves, and holding parallel channels (price never went above the channel). If a trend is bullish, the price should go above the parallel channel - in this case, Bitcoin is not strong enough, and instead, the bulls are losing steam, and the price is starting to lose this blue parallel ascending channel.
If you watched my previous ideas on TradingView, you know that I predict that Bitcoin will go to 58k. Sooner or later this is going to happen, the question is when exactly. I think this uptrend on Bitcoin is starting to be very overextended, and we should see the end of this trend very soon! Probably today or tomorrow.
The next target is around 70k (0.618 FIB). The stock market S&P500 is at an all-time high and moving up relatively slowly but very steadily. Instead, Bitcoin is moving up very fast (during bull markets), but with huge drops every 4th year. The dynamics of these markets are very different.
IN the short on Bitcoin - watch this red range at the top of the channel. When you see a breakdown, enter a short position or exit your long position. This is how you can trade based on confirmations.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! I am very transparent with my trades. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Crypto market
BTCUSD Range Expansion: Breakout Signals Bullish ContinuationBTCUSD has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a breakout scenario, clearing the upper boundary of the established range. This move signals a shift in market structure toward a bullish bias, supported by price holding above the Ichimoku cloud.
However, the immediate rejection after the breakout suggests potential short-term volatility, indicating either a liquidity grab or early profit-taking. For continuation, price must maintain strength above the breakout zone, which now acts as key support.
As long as this level holds, upside targets remain in focus near 78.8K and 79.6K. A failure to sustain above the breakout area could result in a pullback back into the prior range before any further directional move.
BTCUSDT Long: Trend Support Holds - Bulls Eye 79.800$Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (4H) chart structure. Bitcoin previously traded within an ascending channel, confirming strong bullish momentum. After a period of consolidation, price found a bottom at a pivot point and continued its upward movement within a new ascending channel.
Currently, price is holding above the 77,000 demand zone, which acts as key support, while approaching the 79,800 supply zone. A recent breakout and retest confirm buyer strength, while the channel structure continues to support price from below.
As long as BTCUSDT holds above the 77,000 support and respects the ascending channel, the bullish bias remains valid. A continuation from this zone could push price toward the 79,800 resistance (TP1). Manage your risk!
Bitcoin at Make or Break Zone 84K? or Back to 68K?Bitcoin is testing a high confluence resistance zone at 79K–80K right now. This level sits directly on the upper boundary of the major ascending channel (higher timeframe) a proven supply zone that has repeatedly rejected price in the past.
The broader structure is still bullish, but the current impulsive leg looks extended after completing a clean 5-wave move. We are now transitioning into a potential Wave 5 extension, which often produces one final push into the 81K–84K supply zone before exhaustion kicks in a classic fakeout scenario.
Momentum is already fading as price grinds into resistance. This raises the risk of a short-term top, though it could also play out as consolidation before the next leg higher.
Bearish scenario (higher probability if rejected here):
Break and close below 75K support confirms weakness → initial target 72K, then deeper pullback into the 68.7K–68K demand zone (lower channel boundary).
Bullish scenario:
Clean breakout + sustained close above 84K invalidates the rejection thesis and opens the path toward $102k.
Price is at a decisive inflection point, and the reaction here will define the next major move.
Uptrend channel hints at 5% move to $82k for BTCHi,
Technically speaking, we’ve got a clean uptrend channel and a seriously strong weekly support holding things together, so I’m eyeing at least a 5% move up with a target around $82,000 📈🚀. Fundamentally though, there’s some weird-but-good stuff bubbling under the surface that makes me feel the market wants to climb higher 🤔✨. And yes, I said feel don’t laugh just yet 😄. It’s that oddly reliable “trader instinct” you get after staring at charts and candles day and night for years 👀. Sounds a bit mystical, sure, but it’s really just experience in disguise so if this target hits, don’t just celebrate, start training that instinct of yours too.
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BTCUSD Descending Channel Breakout with Bullish Trendline..This 1H BTCUSD chart shows price previously respecting a **descending channel** (marked in red), indicating short-term bearish pressure. However, the structure shifted after a strong bullish impulse from the lower support area, where price bounced off a **rising trendline** (green).
Currently, price is consolidating inside a range while holding above the ascending trendline and partially supported by the Ichimoku cloud. The descending resistance is still in play, but momentum is slowly favoring buyers as higher lows are being formed.
A breakout above the descending channel resistance would confirm bullish continuation, especially if price sustains above the cloud and trendline confluence.
**🎯 Target:**
* **Primary Target:** 78,900 – 79,000 zone
* This aligns with the projected breakout move and prior resistance area.
**⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:**
* Support: 77,200 – 77,400 (trendline + cloud support)
* Resistance: 78,400 → 79,000 (channel top + target zone)
BTC/USD Key Levels & Trend OutlookBTC/USD is currently testing a critical resistance zone around 76,666. Traders should monitor for potential breakout or pullback. Strong support lies at 66,812, providing a key area for trend reversal. Upside targets include 91,117 and 104,163, representing major resistance and potential profit-taking zones. This analysis highlights key levels for tactical entries, exits, and risk management in the current market structure
Bitcoin–Descendng Chanel and Trendline Broken, Bull Market aheadBitcoin has achieved a significant technical breakout. Both the daily descending channel and the d escending trendline resistance have now been broken to the upside. This is a major structural shift, as these two confluent resistance levels had been capping price action for an extended period.
Following the breakout, the price has also completed a valid retest of the broken resistances. In technical analysis, a successful retest occurs when the price returns to the broken resistance level (which now acts as support) and holds above it, confirming that the breakout is genuine rather than a false move. Additionally, a period of range-bound consolidation after the breakout further strengthens the new support zone.
Now that the former resistances have been transformed into strong support levels, the path of least resistance is to the upside. The next major psychological and technical target is the 80,000 level. Once Bitcoin is able to break and close above 80K, it is expected to trigger the next phase of the bull market.
This anticipated bull market comes after approximately one year of ranging and dumping, during which Bitcoin consolidated, shook out weak hands, and built a base for the next leg higher.
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BTCUSDT: Respects Trendline - 79.5K Breakout in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
Bitcoin previously traded inside a range. After the breakout, price continued higher and formed an ascending trend with consistent higher lows along the trendline. Later, the market entered a triangle structure, where multiple breakouts and retests confirmed strong buyer control.
Currently, BTCUSDT is consolidating below the 79,500 resistance zone. A recent pullback and reaction from support indicate that buyers are still active, while resistance remains the main barrier.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT holds above the 77,000 support and respects the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. A bounce from this zone could push price toward the 79,500 resistance (TP1).
However, if price breaks below 77,000 and loses the trend structure, a deeper correction may follow.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XRP Price Accumulation Signals Potential ReversalXRP is currently consolidating at a major support zone, sitting at the higher timeframe range low. This area is acting as a critical foundation for price, and the ongoing consolidation here could be an early sign of accumulation.
Key Highlights:
- Price holding high timeframe range low support 🔺
- Consolidation suggests potential accumulation phase 📊
- Strong reaction zone increases odds of a structural reversal 🚀
From a technical perspective, this region is a high-probability reversal zone. The range low on the higher timeframe has historically acted as a strong support level, where demand tends to step in. The current consolidation at this level indicates that sellers may be losing momentum, while buyers are gradually absorbing supply.
This type of price action often precedes a shift in market structure. If XRP continues to build a base here and begins to form higher lows on lower timeframes, it would signal growing strength and increase the probability of a reversal.
A confirmed bounce from this support zone could open the path for a rally toward higher resistance levels. However, holding this level remains crucial. As long as price maintains support and continues consolidating, the bullish case for a structural reversal remains valid.
ETH/USDT: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout in Progress!Hi!!!
Ethereum has finally squeezed out of its consolidation phase on the 15M chart. After days of tightening price action, the Symmetrical Triangle has resolved to the upside, signaling a return of bullish momentum.
The Technical Setup:
The Breakout: Price has decisively cleared the upper resistance of the triangle. This move marks the end of the "indecision" phase and the start of a fresh expansion.
Market Structure: We are seeing a clean push away from the apex. The immediate price action suggests buyers are aggressively stepping in to front-run the next leg up.
Resistance Flip: The previous supply zone around $2,335 is now acting as an immediate floor for this move.
Targets in Sight:
🎯 Target 1: $2,351 (The primary measured move of the triangle).
🎯 Target 2: $2,360
XRP – Compression Before Expansion?XRP is currently bullish, trading within a rising wedge in blue.
Momentum is building… but still waiting for confirmation.
For the bulls to take over and kick off the next impulse upward, a clean break above the minor red channel is needed 🚀
Until then, price remains in a compression phase.
Meanwhile, if XRP dips back into the accumulation zone, that would open the door for fresh trend-following long setups from value.
Structure is tightening… move is coming.
Which way do you see it breaking? 🐂🐻
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin Rally Failed Near the Top — Is a Bigger Drop Next?As I expected at the start of the week—just like I mentioned in the previous daily timeframe post — Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) began to decline from around the resistance lines, resistance zone($79,500-$78,750), and the 21_SMA(Weekly). In recent hours, this decline has been continuing with solid momentum.
From a classical technical analysis standpoint, it looks like Bitcoin, on the 4-hour timeframe, is forming an Adam & Adam Double Top Pattern(AADT) —one of the valid types of double-top patterns. A notable sign is that the right top is approaching the neckline with strong momentum, which adds to the pattern’s reliability.
From an Elliott Wave Theory perspective, it seems Bitcoin has completed its main wave 4 right near the resistance lines.
Also, we can see a negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between the last two peaks.
Since the S&P500 index ( FX:SPX500 ) is near its all-time highs, we must also keep an eye on it. If the S&P corrects from these highs, Bitcoin’s decline could be amplified due to their correlation. This increases the likelihood of further downside.
I expect that after breaking the support zone ($77,160-$76,740) and the neckline, Bitcoin could drop at least to around $74,900. If the downward momentum is strong, we could look for lower targets.
Target: $74,900
Stop Loss: $81,000(Worst)
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $80,100-$79,540
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $76,980-$76,200
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $74,500-$73,500
CME gap: $84,560-$79,660
CME gap: $69,535-$70,055
CME gap: $67,570-$67,170
What’s your view on Bitcoin? Could it push toward $80,000, or should we anticipate a deeper correction?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
SOLUSDT ready for 10% gain toward 94$ after weeks of ranging Hi,
i can see ranging candlesticks for weeks for the BINANCE:SOLUSDT but market is witnessing new volume and the price is close to the great support area the 10% gain toward 94$ can be the beginning of the new journey for the trend and the sol.
BITCOIN 1D Bear Flag or 4H Channel Up?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading on a 4H Channel Up since the February 06 Low which on the 1D time-frame though is the 3rd of a series of similar patterns. The November 2025 - January 2026 one turned out to be a Bear Flag, the first of the Bear Cycle that started since the October 06 2025 All Time High (ATH).
Having already broken above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is where it got rejected on January 14 2026, BTC sees now the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as the next Resistance, which is key, as all previous Bear Cycles tested it (and got rejected).
The presence of RSI Lower Highs both on the 1D and 4H charts, should make us skeptical. On 4H and the even shorter Channel Up (blue) that was initiated after the March 30 Low, the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) is what's holding the pattern from a correction below the 0.236 Channel Fibonacci level. Critical days for the Cycle as a whole ahead of us.
Do you think the RSI Lower Highs will pull an immediate rejection or BTC will test the 1D MA200 first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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TRX: The Institutional Floor is Set! Buying the Dip to $0.315While the broader market is shifting, TRON is executing a masterclass in corporate treasury management. Tron Inc. (the Nasdaq-listed entity) has officially crossed the 693 million TRX mark in its treasury, consistently buying at an average of $0.3236.
With the recent launch of the Quantum-Resistant Blockchain initiative and the $1 Billion AI Fund, the ecosystem is pivoting from a mere "stablecoin king" (still handling 55% of global USDT volume) to a future-proof tech giant. The recent Binance.US listing and SEC ETF filings from Canary Capital suggest that the "institutionalization" of TRX is in full swing.
The Setup: Ascending Channel & Support Squeeze 🧩
The 4-hour chart shows a textbook Ascending Channel:
The Channel Pattern: TRX has been grinding higher within these parallel boundaries for months. Each test of the lower support has resulted in a massive "buy-back" from institutional players.
The "Buy Area": Notice the green shaded box near $0.3140 – $0.3170. This is a high-confluence zone where the channel floor meets the local horizontal support.
Price Action: We are currently seeing a healthy corrective "shakeout." This is a classic "liquidity hunt" before the next impulsive leg up.
The Roadmap: Destination $0.3450 🎯
Following the purple projection on our chart, we are looking for a definitive bounce from the support floor:
Primary Entry: $0.3150 – $0.3180 (The Buy Area).
Initial Target: $0.3350 (Previous local peak).
Macro Target: $0.3450 – $0.3500 (The upper boundary of the channel).
Invalidation: A sustained 4H close below the $0.3100 psychological floor would negate this bullish thesis.
The Ether Bull & New ATH · EMA13 Conquered · $3,730 Next!The 2025 bullish cycle really intensified once Ether moved weekly above EMA13. As soon this happened, ETHUSDT experienced sustained bullish action for months.
The bullish wave ended August 2025 with a test of EMA13 as support in September, then again October. When EMA13 broke as support, we saw months of bearish action.
The bearish period wasn't straight down, there was some relief in late 2025 until January 2026. In January, all growth stopped as soon as ETH faced EMA13 as resistance. Just one challenge of this level and a crash from $3,400 ended at $1,750, showing how important EMA13 is to determine mid-term price action.
After almost three months of consolidation, recovery and accumulation at bottom prices, after the 6-Feb low, ETHUSDT managed last week to move and close above EMA13, giving us the strongest bullish signal of all. This opens the doors for massive growth.
Just as in October 2025 a break below this level led to four months of bearish action; a break above in April 2026 can lead to several months of bullish action. All that is needed is a follow through this week.
If bulls/buyers show up at current prices, ~$2,400, we can expect a fast and sudden advance toward $3,730. That's our next target.
ETHUSDT just closed four consecutive weeks green after a long-term higher low. The path is open for a new all-time high long-term, and maximum growth short-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Tests Major Confluence ResistanceBitcoin is currently trading into a strong resistance zone, where multiple technical factors are aligning and creating a key decision point for price action. This region is acting as a major barrier, and the reaction here will likely determine the next directional move.
Key Highlights:
- Strong resistance confluence with 0.618 Fibonacci + daily level 🔺
- Declining volume on the move higher signals weak bullish momentum 📉
- Failure to reclaim opens downside toward low $70K support zone ⚠️
From a technical perspective, this area represents a high-probability rejection zone unless bulls can step in with conviction. The alignment of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement alongside a well-established daily resistance level makes this a critical region where supply is likely to be present.
Additionally, the recent upside move has been accompanied by declining volume, which is typically a bearish signal. This divergence suggests that the rally may lack strength and could be driven by short-term positioning rather than sustained demand.
If Bitcoin fails to reclaim this resistance with strong volume and acceptance above the level, it significantly increases the probability of a corrective move. In that scenario, a rotation back toward the low $70K region becomes the more likely outcome, keeping the broader range structure intact.
Bitcoin at a Turning Point: Rally or Top? (12H)This analysis is an update of the one you can find in the related publications section.
The diametric structure we had identified for Bitcoin is still valid, but wave E has extended slightly.
In this update, we have optimized and revised the supply zone, and it is expected that wave E will complete within the red box.
However, since Bitcoin has broken a mid-term resistance trendline and there are still two waves remaining in the diametric pattern, we will consider two scenarios moving forward:
Scenario 1:
After the completion of wave E, if no deep drop occurs and wave F finishes within the green zone, Bitcoin could complete wave F, pull back to the broken trendline, and then form a strong bullish move as wave G potentially reaching up to the 90K range.
Scenario 2:
If wave F experiences a deep drop and the green zone is broken to the downside with strong 12 hour or daily candle bodies, it is likely that the top of this pattern has already been completed at wave E. In this case, we may not see significant bullish movement in wave G, and the price could move toward the 62K range.
Considering the ongoing tensions in the Middle East and how developments may impact the crypto market positively or negatively, we remain prepared for both scenarios. Therefore, monitor these key levels closely.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
Do you also think BITCOIN is bullish?
How Overtrading Slowly Destroys PerformanceOne of the most common reasons traders struggle to achieve consistency is not the strategy they use, but how often they trade. Many traders believe that more activity leads to more opportunity. In reality, excessive participation often leads to the opposite result.
Overtrading occurs when traders take positions that do not fully meet their criteria. The trades may look acceptable in isolation, but they lack the structural alignment that defines a high-quality setup.
This behavior usually develops gradually.
At first, the trader takes only clear opportunities. Over time, the desire to remain active increases. Charts are watched continuously, and small movements begin to appear significant. Trades that once would have been ignored start to feel justifiable.
The result is a higher frequency of trades with lower quality.
Each additional trade introduces risk. When these trades are taken without strong structural reasons, the probability of success decreases. Losses begin to accumulate not because the strategy stopped working, but because the trader stopped applying it selectively.
Another problem with overtrading is emotional fatigue.
Every trade requires attention, decision-making, and risk management. As the number of trades increases, mental energy becomes depleted. Decision quality gradually declines. Traders may begin to enter earlier than planned, move stops impulsively, or exit trades prematurely.
This degradation of execution often goes unnoticed at first.
Performance data may show several small losses rather than one large mistake. However, the cumulative effect becomes significant. Over time, a large number of marginal trades erodes profits that stronger setups could have produced.
Transaction costs can also amplify the problem.
Frequent trading increases fees and slippage, especially in fast markets. These costs may appear small on a single trade but become meaningful when multiplied across dozens of unnecessary positions.
Professional traders approach participation differently.
Instead of measuring productivity by the number of trades taken, they measure it by the quality of opportunities selected. Many experienced traders spend long periods observing the market without entering a position. Their goal is to wait for conditions where structure, liquidity, and participation align.
This selective approach reduces exposure to random price movement.
Fewer trades often produce clearer results. Each position is based on a defined thesis, risk is easier to manage, and emotional pressure remains lower because the trader is not constantly reacting to every movement.
The objective in trading is not to be active.
It is to be effective.
A strategy can only demonstrate its edge when trades are taken under the conditions it was designed for. Overtrading weakens that edge by introducing unnecessary exposure to environments where probability is unclear.
Consistency in trading rarely comes from doing more.
It comes from learning when not to act.
Bitcoin and the scenario in the coming daysBitcoin on today's timeframe was forming a descending price channel, which I had signaled. However, this channel was broken by a momentum candle, and now the price has broken the channel. Scenario 1: A retest of the yellow zone, which is a strong support area, and where the price also broke the descending price channel. Scenario 2: Continuation of the upward movement towards the demand zone, which is highlighted in yellow. Bitcoin is currently in a positive trend. Always remember: Trading is 90% patience and 10% execution. Trade safely. Omar Al-Shaaban
Bitcoin Rebound Scenario – Push Toward 79,000 IncomingHello traders! Here is my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. Bitcoin previously traded within a range, showing consolidation before a breakout that confirmed bullish momentum. After the breakout, price continued higher and formed an ascending structure with consistent higher lows along the trend line. Currently, price is holding above the 77,000 buyer zone, which acts as strong support, while approaching the 79,000 resistance level (seller zone). At the same time, a descending resistance line is limiting upward movement, and a recent rejection suggests short-term selling pressure. As long as BTCUSDT holds above the 77,000 support and respects the ascending trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect a potential rebound from this zone, which could push price toward the 79,000 resistance (TP1). Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
This Level Has Just Stopped Bitcoin… And This Is Why!!! Major weekly barrier
~$78.4k is a clear resistance level from prior structure → price is reacting right into it
No reclaim yet
Price is at the level, not above it → nothing confirmed until we see acceptance beyond
Clean role flip zone
Previously acted as support → now acting as resistance → classic S/R flip test
Reaction matters more than arrival
The move into the level is irrelevant on its own → what happens here is what counts
Momentum still questionable
RSI rising but still below 50 → no strong confirmation behind the move
Binary outcome
Break and hold above = reclaim → bullish
Rejection here = confirms resistance → downside remains in play
In Summary
Bitcoin is sitting directly at a major weekly resistance around $78.4k, a level that previously acted as support and is now being tested as resistance. There is no confirmed reclaim at this stage, as price has not yet broken and held above the level. This makes the current reaction critical, with the outcome here likely to define direction. A clean move above would signal strength, while rejection would reinforce the level as resistance.






















