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Oil - the biggest week in 40 yearsOver the past four years, almost every trader or commodities analyst has discussed the ramifications of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz and the impact on oil prices. That hypothesis has now finally materialised. It's still too early to say how oil markets will be impact. Previous regional wars have taught us to be cautious. Energy markets don't always behave as expected. Traders are focused on short term supply disruptions, the movement of energy, disruption to the status quo. The overall electrification of energy demand is also a major factor, together with the US becoming increasingly energy dependent. However dispute all these cautions, oil price have been subdued for a few years now. Particularly when pricing oil in gold. Oil isn't expensive, so there could be some upward momentum in the coming weeks. The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
TVC:UKOILLong
by Blueberry
12
At the Edge: Breakdown or New Rally in Coinbase?On the daily timeframe, the stock has retraced sharply from its 400+ rally peak and is now sitting on a major historical support zone around $155–165. The long-term moving average is sloping downward and price remains below it, meaning the medium-term structure is still corrective. This support reaction is critical. Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks) Bullish Rebound Scenario If price holds above $165–170: • 🎯 Target 1: $205 • 🎯 Target 2: $240 • 🎯 Target 3: $280 • ⛔ Stop Loss: Daily close below $150 Bearish Breakdown Scenario If $150 fails: • 🎯 Target 1: $120 • 🎯 Target 2: $95–100 • ⛔ Stop Loss (short): Close above $170 Long-Term Outlook (6–12 Months) Coinbase is highly correlated with Bitcoin cycles. Bull Cycle Scenario If crypto enters a new bull run and COIN reclaims $240: • 🎯 $320 • 🎯 $400 • 🎯 Extended target: $480 • ⛔ Investment Stop: Breakdown below $120 Bear Cycle Scenario If crypto weakens: • Possible retracement toward $80–100 • That zone may become long-term accumulation area. Fundamental Snapshot Coinbase Global Inc. is the largest U.S.-based crypto exchange. Growth drivers: • Higher crypto trading volumes • Bitcoin ETFs • Institutional custody and staking revenue • Broader crypto adoption Risks: • Revenue highly dependent on transaction fees • Regulatory pressure • Extreme crypto volatility In summary: High beta to Bitcoin — explosive in bull markets, painful in corrections.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by isahebdadi
13
S&P500 could go up nowHi traders, Last week SPX500USD followed exactly the path of my arrow. So I think this bigger Triangle pattern (red wave 4) could now be finished. In that case next week we could see an impulsive upmove. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for an impulsive wave up and a correction down. After a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe you could trade longs. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect. Manage your emotions, trade your edge! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
32
Australian Stock Index ASX 200 Reaches Record HighAustralian Stock Index ASX 200 Reaches Record High As the chart of the ASX 200 index shows, today’s candle has moved above the 9,210 level, marking a fresh all-time high. Since the start of the year, the benchmark of Australian equities has gained more than 5.6%, supported by: → A strong earnings season. A significant number of companies not only exceeded analysts’ expectations but also upgraded their profit forecasts for the 2026 financial year. → Economic resilience. The unemployment rate remains low despite the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a firm policy stance. → Elevated prices for gold, uranium and copper, along with signs of a recovery in China’s economy, which have provided support to the mining sector. Technical Analysis of the ASX 200 Chart Price action continues to unfold within an ascending channel (highlighted in blue) that has been in place since autumn 2025. Within this structure: → The median line acted as support on 24 February, signalling underlying strength. → The upper boundary has repeatedly served as resistance during 2026. It is worth noting that: → The psychological 9,100 level had previously capped gains within the channel. → The index has now climbed above 9,200 near the upper boundary of the blue channel. → The RSI indicator is approaching overbought territory. Given these factors, it is reasonable to assume that some long-position holders may look to take profits, potentially leading to a pause in bullish momentum. As a result, the following scenario cannot be ruled out: → Failure to secure a sustained move above 9,200; → The development of a corrective pullback in the ASX 200 (Australia 200 on FXOpen). In such a case, support may emerge near the lower orange trend line, which reflects the upward trajectory seen during the second half of the month. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:AUS200
by FXOpen
14
WTI Oil Pulls Back from Its 2026 HighWTI Oil Pulls Back from Its 2026 High As the XTI/USD chart shows, the price of a barrel: → set fresh 2026 highs above $67 earlier this week; → but yesterday posted a sharp reversal lower (as indicated by the blue arrow). The spike in volatility was driven by conflicting reports from Geneva, where talks between the United States and Iran were taking place: → some sources suggested negotiations had reached an impasse, as Washington insists on a complete halt to uranium enrichment; → meanwhile, according to Omani mediators, progress has been made and another round of talks is scheduled for next week. Technical Analysis of the XTI/USD Chart When analysing the oil price chart on the morning of 19 February, we suggested that: → the market could soon set a new high for the year (which materialised, with a series of highs formed between 19 and 23 February); → the 65.20 level would act as support (confirmed on 23 February). Today’s chart indicates growing bearish pressure, reflected in the following: → WTI struggled to hold above its yearly highs, forming signs of potential bull traps; → yesterday’s candle (marked with a red arrow) shows a pronounced upper wick. At the same time, bulls clearly defended the former resistance level at $63.73. The lower boundary of the ascending trajectory that has defined WTI price movements in 2026 also supports the bullish case. It is worth noting that an OPEC+ meeting is scheduled for the weekend. According to media reports, analysts expect an increase in output from April, which could heighten concerns about oversupply — particularly after US crude inventories rose on Wednesday. As a result, Monday’s trading may open with elevated volatility. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
11
DOGE Distribution Warning: Is a Sharp Flush Coming?Yello Paradisers! Are you seeing what smart money is quietly doing on #DOGE right now, or are you about to get caught in the next possible sharp downside move? At first glance, this looks like “just another healthy pullback.” That’s exactly how retail traders get trapped. But when we read the structure properly and remove emotions from the equation, the chart is telling a very different story. Right now, this is not a place for emotional trading. This is a place for discipline. 💎#DOGE has clearly respected the descending resistance trend-line and failed to break above it. That rejection is not random. It confirms ongoing structural weakness. As long as price holds momentum within the supply zone/Order block + FVG zone 1H, probability favours continuation to the downside. The immediate minor support sits around 8985. If bearish pressure continues, that level becomes the first magnet. 💎From Volume Spread Analysis perspective, the sequence is even more revealing. We saw a buying climax followed by a climactic action bar. This combination typically shows distribution. In simple terms, institutions use these aggressive spikes to offload positions into retail enthusiasm. When the crowd feels confident, smart money distributes quietly. 💎#DOGE has now swept the upper trigger line of buying climax. This is a key weakness confirmation. When a buying climax upper trigger line swept, it shows that demand is not strong enough to absorb supply. If bearish momentum continues, the next major possible target sits around 8030, which could be tested sooner than many expect. 💎If #DOGE manages to break above the key resistance at 10875 with a strong momentum candle, this whole bearish probability would be invalidated, and we could instead see a bullish continuation. As always, we let price confirm our bias. Discipline is key, Paradisers! The charts may look volatile, but this is where professionals thrive and amateurs panic. Don’t let emotions guide your trades. Wait for clear confirmation and manage risk like a pro. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
42
Bitcoin 3-Day 'Death Cross' Signalling 50% Incoming Drop In this quick study I'm showing how in Prior Cycles Bitcoin has seen additional 40 to 50% drops from where we are now. On this 3-day charge and looking at the crossover of the 50. EMA below the 200. EMA in blue, we've seen previously deeper corrections in the 50% range. So while we could see a recovery balance in March, since we've been down 5 months with Red candles in a row. I still think this is ominous and looks poised to drop lower. My other studies show a drop to at least the $50,000 to $52,000 range where we can see buyers lined up there for a strong bounce, or potentially bottom using "buyer" block signals. But in this worst case scenario, we could see Bitcoin down to around the 34,000 level as an ultimate low. Questions and comments welcome. Let me know what you think in terms of where and when the bottom will be this year.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BrettFogle
67
Gold — Quiet Consolidation as Market Awaits DirectionYesterday was a relatively quiet session for Gold traders, with price fluctuating inside a tight range and showing limited directional momentum. As seen on the chart, after the drop from the 5250 zone — a move that also filled Monday’s opening gap — buyers stepped back in and pushed price once again above the 5200 level. However, following another decline during the Asian session toward 5145, Gold is now trading in the middle of the range, offering little immediate opportunity. 🔎 Current Structure The broader structure since the beginning of February remains bullish. Recent price action is compressing into what resembles a symmetrical triangle, formed above the former 5100 resistance, which is now acting as support. This type of consolidation often precedes expansion. 📈 Bullish Scenario A break and stabilization above 5220 could trigger upside acceleration, with a measured technical target around: 🎯 5350 zone ⚠️ Bearish Alternative At the same time, uncertainty remains. If price breaks back below 5140, the recent upside move risks becoming a false breakout, opening the door for a deeper correction toward the key psychological level near: ➡️ 5000 ✅ Conclusion At the moment, the market lacks confirmation in either direction. I remain patient and waiting for clarification, allowing price to move from consolidation into a clearer opportunity before taking a position. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
35
Nvidia Does It Again. But the Stock Falters. What Happened?“Great quarter guys,” would be an understatement. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA delivered what most companies would describe as a generational quarter . Profit surged 94% year over year, reaching $43 billion, while revenue climbed 73% to $68.1 billion, comfortably ahead of consensus estimates. Data center sales alone accounted for $62.3 billion, representing more than 91% of total revenue, as artificial intelligence infrastructure spending continues to define corporate capex across Silicon Valley. Annual revenue crossed the $200 billion mark for the first time in fiscal 2026, and net income for the year reached $120 billion. On paper, it reads like the scoreboard of a dynasty team in its prime and the gem of the earnings season . 📉 So Why the Yawn? Despite the nearly $6 billion revenue surprise and a guidance figure of $78 billion for the current quarter, well above the expected $72.1 billion, the stock barely moved in after-hours trading. When a company approaches a $5 trillion market value , beating expectations becomes routine. Investors start measuring results not against forecasts, but against perfection. 🏋 The Weight of the AI Boom Nvidia sits at the center of the AI trade, no doubt about that. Every hyperscaler expansion, every chatbot launch, every cloud upgrade ultimately runs through its hardware. Its largest customers include OpenAI (private for now), Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Meta Platforms NASDAQ:META , Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL and Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN . These companies continue to invest aggressively in AI infrastructure, yet markets are beginning to ask a reasonable question. How sustainable is this spending cycle? Concerns around OpenAI’s fundraising capacity and the growing push by large tech firms to design custom chips of their own have added nuance to what once felt like a one-way demand story. 🏗️ Capex Fatigue Creeps In Investors have grown more sensitive to the scale of capital expenditures across the AI ecosystem. Billions flow into data centers, networking equipment and advanced GPUs, and each earnings season brings higher spending projections. That expansion benefits Nvidia today. At the same time, markets wonder how long hyperscalers can continue increasing budgets without demanding stronger returns. To add to that, Nvidia’s reported plan to shift its potential $100 billion OpenAI investment into a more modest $30 billion participation reflects a broader recalibration of ambition. 📊 Expectations as the Real Benchmark Nvidia’s share price dipped to $170 late last year during a broader tech wobble , before recovering to current market prices around $196. The stock remains highly sensitive to sentiment shifts within the AI narrative. The challenge is psychological as much as financial. Each quarter sets a new baseline for excellence. The bar continues rising, and markets adjust expectations accordingly. For a company this large, incremental upside surprises must grow larger to move the needle meaningfully. 🔌 The Memory Chip Angle Another wrinkle involves supply chain dynamics. Memory shortages and component constraints linger in the background. When a business grows at Nvidia’s pace, execution risks carry more visibility. Traders also recognize that competition continues to evolve. Custom silicon efforts by major clients introduce long-term strategic questions, even if near-term demand remains robust. Nvidia delivered extraordinary growth once again. Revenue and profit expanded at rates that would headline any earnings season. Investors admire the numbers but also simultaneously evaluate how long such momentum can persist. Off to you : How do you read the numbers? Happy with the growth we’ve seen or wary of any immediate risks that could cast a shadow on the outlook? Share your views in the comments!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
24
EURUSD: This Is Not a Breakdown — It’s CompressionHello everyone, Looking at EURUSD at the moment, I believe this is not a phase of weakness , but rather a “loading phase” before the next move higher. From a news perspective, the overall picture is gradually tilting in favor of the euro. The US dollar remains under pressure due to tariff uncertainty, political risks, and growing doubts about the underlying strength of the US economy. President Trump’s reactive policy decisions have made it difficult for markets to place long-term confidence in the USD . In contrast, the ECB maintains a stable tone and shows no urgency to further ease policy, giving the euro a relatively solid foundation in the short term. When comparing both sides, it’s clear that EUR currently carries less risk than USD —and that is the key point. Turning to the chart, the most important factor is not the fact that price is below the trendline, but how price is reacting around the 1.1750 zone. This is a strong support area where sellers are no longer able to push price significantly lower, while buying interest is gradually appearing. Price is moving sideways and compressing, which signals that selling pressure is fading rather than the market preparing for a deeper drop. I expect EURUSD to continue trading in a narrow range around current levels to build further accumulation, before pushing up to test the 1.1830 area. If this level is broken decisively, there is a high probability that price will extend toward the 1.19–1.1920 zone, where upside liquidity is concentrated. In conclusion, EURUSD is not a pair to chase sells right now . Instead, it is a pair worth watching closely for BUY scenarios on pullbacks. Thank you for listening and sharing your thoughts with me!
Long
by Paradise_Noir
38
XAUNOW | GOLD | Get Ready For More Bullish Move !Gold is currently trading around $5159, and in my view we’re getting close to a key demand zone between $5080 and $5140. I’m expecting buyers to step in from this area and potentially push the market higher again. If we see proper reaction and stabilization inside this zone, the upside continuation scenario becomes very likely. On the 1-hour timeframe, the next bullish targets to watch are $5180, $5200, $5213, and $5232. As long as demand holds, these levels are clearly in play. Make sure to follow this analysis closely because I’ll be posting fresh Gold updates here every single day. Let’s track it step by step.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XAUNOW
90
Bullish continuation in play?Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.7086 1st Support: 0.6996 1st Resistance: 0.7234 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
9
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? After the recent bullish rally and rejection from the psychological 1.20 level, EURUSD has entered a corrective phase. Price has now pulled back to the previously broken descending trendline and the former resistance zone, which is currently acting as support . At the moment, the pair is consolidating around this key support area. A period of short-term volatility and liquidity collection is likely within this zone before the next directional move. As long as price holds above this support structure, the expectation remains for a continuation toward higher levels. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
32
GOLD - The hunt for liquidity before the trend continues FX:XAUUSD is consolidating near $5,250 after four days of growth. A false breakout of key resistance is forming a correction, but the market structure remains bullish. The opening of the Chinese and Japanese markets has added liquidity to the market. Tariff uncertainty: the Trump administration is considering new tariffs. Tensions remain between the US and Iran, Russia, and the US and Ukraine. The correction in gold is temporary amid dollar stabilization. Fundamental support (expectations of rate cuts, geopolitics, demand from Asia) remains, limiting the potential for a decline. Technically, the focus is on the local range of 5191-5145. Liquidity capture on the support side could shift the imbalance towards buyers... Resistance levels: 5191, 5238 Support levels: 5144, 5116, 5098 Within the bullish trend, a countertrend correction is forming, aimed at hunting for liquidity. Key areas of interest: 5145, 5116. A long squeeze of support and the market holding above key levels could trigger continued growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
55
Don’t chase yen, the BoJ still looks independent (hopefully)It has been reported that Japan Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi raised reservations about further interest rate hikes in a meeting with Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda last week. The headline gave USD/JPY a lift, with the pair climbing into the 155.80 to 156.2 area. This move might be a little overdone, though? The independence of the BoJ perhaps shouldn't be called into question as much as it has been in the US. While Takaichi has kind words for US President Donald Trump, it is unlikely she will follow his example of trying to interfere and fire the chair of the central bank if he ignores her reservations. Trump is an outlier, and hopefully his behavior won't inspire a new norm outside the US.
by BlackBull Markets
15
US 100 Index – Preparing for the Impact of AI Bellwether Nvidia’As if traders of the US 100 index haven’t already got enough to worry about with the recent upheaval surrounding global trade, related to Friday’s US Supreme Court decision to rule President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs as illegal, which was quickly followed by the White House’s use of other powers to reinstate a tariff of 15% on all imports into the US. Tomorrow, sees Nvidia, the biggest company in the world by market capitalisation and AI bellwether, report its quarterly earnings after the close. This may be an even bigger event for traders to digest, given the recent sentiment wobble centered around the size of capital expenditure being committed to AI projects, and the debate about when this colossal spending may start to produce a meaningful revenue payoff. Not only that, but February has also seen several nasty sell-offs in the US 100 related to the potential negative impact of AI on the current business models of many businesses from software to wealth management. The latest of which was yesterday, which saw IBM shares experience their worst 1 day fall in over 20 years. On Friday, after the initial headline confirming the US Supreme Court’s decision on reciprocal tariffs, the US 100 index eventually rallied 1% into the close, ending the week at 25012, however after a having a weekend to digest the news and consider what the Nvidia results could mean for pricing, traders came back selling on Monday, taking the index back down to a low at 24611, before bouncing back to current levels around 24780 (0630 GMT). Where the index moves from here could depend not only on comparing the actual results of Nvidia, against lofty expectations, but also on what the company says about future revenue and demand, alongside how it is adjusting to threats to its chip business from a variety of competitors racing to join the space. It could be a very nervy and volatile end to the week and assessing the technical outlook to identify key levels that may be relevant when the US 100 index starts to move could be helpful for structuring new and existing trades. Technical Update: The Battle Between Buyers And Sellers Continues Currently a tug‑of‑war is taking place between buyers and sellers of the US 100 index which is helping to create choppy price action. The wide range is defined by the October 30th high at 26277 and the November 21st low at 23834. This balanced, sideways theme remains intact, and a decisive closing break above 26277 or below 23834 is needed to signal the next significant directional move. With no clear indication yet of which direction a breakout may take, staying aware of relevant closer support and resistance levels can be helpful, especially during a period where price volatility could well increase sharply due to the release of Nvidia’s earnings tomorrow. Potential Support Levels: While support at 23834 remains the key area to watch, there is a closer level that could be worth monitoring at 24142. This corresponds to the February 6th session low. A sustained close below 24142 could open the way for a retest of the more significant 23834 support. Closing breaks below 23834 may increase the risk of a deeper decline. Such a break could open the way for a move toward 23207, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and potentially even 22678, the August 1st session low. Potential Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance could sit near 25078, a level aligned with the Bollinger mid‑average. A sustained close above this level may be needed to signal momentum is building for a move to higher levels. Successful closes above the 25078 level, could open the way for challenges of the next resistance at 25379, which is the February 11th high. If that level were to be broken on a closing basis, attention may then turn toward the more significant October 30th high at 26277. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
4
IBM stock remains weak below $230It has been a challenging stretch for IBM stock after it posted one of its worst declines in years during yesterday’s session, falling more than 12%. The renewed selling pressure intensified after Anthropic introduced a new tool called “Claude Code,” capable of automating systems written in COBOL, an older programming language widely used in corporate environments historically linked to IBM. This announcement raised concerns in the market, as a meaningful portion of IBM’s business, particularly within its enterprise services segment, is tied to the modernization and maintenance of COBOL-based systems. This new development could introduce competition capable of eroding a stable source of revenue for the company. In this context, confidence quickly deteriorated amid fears that IBM may be falling behind in the artificial intelligence race. As long as this perception persists, selling pressure is likely to remain relevant in the coming trading sessions. Uptrend loses momentum Following the recent price decline, a clear break of the upward trendline that had been in place for several months has occurred. This move could signal a shift in the dominant technical structure and open the door to a new bearish bias in the short term. If downward pressure remains steady in upcoming sessions, a new descending trendline could begin to form and dominate price movements in the weeks ahead. RSI The RSI remains below the neutral 50 level, reflecting dominance of selling momentum. However, the indicator has recently dropped below the 30 level, entering oversold territory, which may suggest an excessive level of bearish pressure. This behavior could open the door to potential short-term technical rebounds in the coming sessions. MACD Meanwhile, the MACD histogram remains below the zero line, indicating that short-term moving averages continue to reflect a prevailing bearish bias. As long as this dynamic holds, it may be difficult for the stock to establish more sustained buying momentum in the short term. Key levels to watch $263: Relevant resistance zone corresponding to the most recent area of price neutrality on the chart. A move back toward this level could reactivate a buying bias and restore momentum to the previous upward trendline. $234: Near-term barrier that could act as a reference level in the event of short-term corrective rebounds. $215: Low area not seen since April 2025 and the most relevant bearish barrier. Sustained moves below this level could trigger the formation of a more aggressive downward trendline and reinforce the dominance of the bearish bias in the short term. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
NYSE:IBM
by FOREX.com
1
XAU/USD | Explodes to $5250 – OTE Rejection, Next Leg Loading?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that price surged aggressively today and reached the $5250 level, driven by the market reaction to Trump’s 15% tariff announcement. The move was impulsive and expansionary, confirming strong bullish momentum during the session. However, once price entered the OTE region, heavy selling pressure stepped in and Gold corrected sharply down to the $5093 level. This reaction was technically clean and aligned with the premium retracement zone. Currently, Gold is trading around the $5122 area, showing signs of stabilization after the corrective move. As long as price manages to hold and stabilize above the $5100 level, the bullish continuation scenario remains valid. A sustained position above this key level increases the probability of further upside expansion, with potential targets projected at $5140, followed by $5155, and then $5190 in case of continued momentum. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
75
Salesforce Is Down Some 50% in 13 Months. Here's Its Chart.Salesforce NYSE:CRM has seen its value nearly cut in half in the past 12 months, with the AI-focused software firm's stock hitting a nearly three-year low this week ahead of earnings. Let's see what CRM's chart and fundamental analysis can tell us. Salesforce's Fundamental Analysis Led by billionaire CEO Marc Benioff, Salesforce plans to release its fiscal Q4 results after the closing bell on Wednesday. The results will come out at a time when CRM has been on the wrong side of the market for far longer than the struggling software industry in general has been. The Street is looking for the company to report $3.05 in adjusted earnings per share for the period on roughly $11.2 billion of revenue. Should the deck play out that way, that would represent a 9.7% year-over-year gain from the $2.78 in adjusted EPS that Salesforce posted for the same period one year ago. Such results would also mark about 12% in y/y growth from Q4 2025's $10 billion of revenue. There are mixed opinions on Salesforce up and down Wall Street going into this week's earnings report. Twenty-six of the 42 sell-side analysts I know of who cover Salesforce have revised their earnings estimates upward for the period since the quarter began, while nine have cut their numbers and seven have made no changes. Salesforce's Technical Analysis Let's see if CRM's technicals offer any clues as to what might happen once those numbers are published. Here's Salesforce's chart going back some 16 months and running through last Thursday afternoon: The first thing readers will see is a double-top pattern of bearish reversal in late 2024 that kicked off a more than year-long sell-off for the stock. Marked with red boxes and red shading at the chart's left, this led directly into a falling-wedge pattern of bullish reversal. Denoted by blue diagonal lines and tan shading, this pattern did lead to Salesforce trying to break out to the upside in late 2025. However, CRM's bullish move led right into a second double-top pattern of bearish reversal (the red boxes at shading at the chart's right). This saw the stock get obliterated in early 2026. Is there any hope? Actually, yes. Readers will see that despite the stock having surrendered all three of its key moving averages, Salesforce's secondary technical indicators shown above are acting just a wee bit better. For example, the stock's Relative Strength Index (or "RSI," marked with a gray line at the chart's top) is flirting with the possibility of exiting technically oversold territory. And while all three components of Salesforce's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by a black line, gold line and blue bars at the chart's bottom) are still in negative territory, there's some cause for hope. Yes, having those three data points in negative territory is usually bearish, but the histogram of the 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with blue bars) is very close to going positive. In addition, the 12-day EMA (the black line) is very close to crossing above the 26-day EMA (the gold line). If both of those things happen, that would be technically bullish for the stock. An Options Option Some risk-averse options traders might be employing a "bull-call spread" in this situation. That's where you buy two calls with the same expiration dates, but different strike prices. Here's an example: -- Long one $180 CRM call with a Feb. 27 expiration date (i.e., after earnings). This cost about $6.60 at recent prices. -- Short one Feb. 27 $190 CRM call for roughly $3.50. Net Debit: $3.10. These traders will be risking the $3.10 net debit (the maximum theoretical loss) in an attempt to bring back $10, for a $6.90 maximum theoretical net profit. The trader would receive that if CRM closes at or above $190 at expiration. Conversely, traders would see the $3.10 maximum theoretical loss occur if CRM closed at or below $180 at expiration. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in CRM at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Customers should consider their investment objectives and risks carefully before investing in options. Because of the importance of tax considerations to all options transactions, the customer considering options should consult their tax advisor as to how taxes affect the outcome of each options strategy. Supporting documents for any claims will be furnished upon request. Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved. Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NYSE:CRM
by moomoo
4
Accepting Risk — The Umbrella TestHi – it’s been a while since my last post but I thought to share something 😊 Have you ever said "I accept the risk" before entering a trade... only to panic when things go south? Let me share a quick real-life story that happened to my girlfriend—it perfectly shows what "true risk acceptance" really means (or doesn't). The Umbrella Story She was heading out the door one morning. The sky looked a bit cloudy, so she asked: "Should I take the umbrella? It might rain today..." She looked at the umbrella by the door, hesitated for a second, then smiled and said: ""Nah, I'll risk it—leaving the umbrella at home!" I just shrugged. "If you say so." Fast forward an hour. Heavy rain. Phone rings—it's her: "Can you come pick me up? I don't want to get wet..." She had acknowledged the possibility of rain. She had made a decision. She had even used the word "risk" — which sounds like acceptance. But the moment it actually rained, the deal was off. She wasn't prepared to live with the outcome she had agreed to take on and needed a bail out. I went and picked her up but during that call it struck me immediately as very similar situation from another area with what we all here at TradingView are familiar – investing / trading. Trading Before entering a trade, we go through the motions. We set a stop loss. We calculate the risk. We tell ourselves we're comfortable with the downside. And in that moment — sitting in front of the chart, position not yet open — we believe it. Then the trade moves against us. Suddenly the stop feels wrong. Maybe the level needs adjusting. Maybe we should give it a little more room. The loss that was acceptable few moments ago has become unacceptable now when it's real. We're standing in the rain, calling for a ride, refusing to get wet. The truth reveals itself—risk wasn’t really accepted. We just told ourselves we did. And that's where stress, bigger losses, and all sorts of trouble starts. This is quite common and costly pattern in trading. Not because traders are dishonest with themselves, but because imagined risk and real risk feel completely different. Imagining a loss is one thing - watching it actually happen is another. The gap between "I accept this risk" and actually accepting it is where trading plan falls apart. Moving stops. Adding to losing positions. Holding past your own rules. These aren't random mistakes. They're the same thing — a refusal to get wet after deciding to leave the umbrella at home. True risk acceptance isn't something you do before the trade. It's something you maintain during it. It means deciding in advance what you're willing to lose, and then — when that scenario actually plays out — not picking up the phone to call for rescue. I know it’s easier to say than done in real life. Accepting a loss before it happens, and accepting it when it arrives, are two different skills. Those skills need practicing. I’m quite disciplined with my day-trading regarding stops but for me harder part comes from longer swing trades – and I’ve paid my fair share for these lessons. I hope to reach to same level as my day-trading discipline on some day 😊 The honest question to ask yourself before any trade isn't "where is my stop?" It's "am I genuinely prepared to lose this amount?" If there's any hesitation in that answer — if part of you is already hoping it won't come to that — the umbrella hasn't really been left at home. It's just been hidden behind the door. Losses are part of the business. There's a reason ’Trading in the Zone’ keeps coming up in trading circles - Mark Douglas nails this exact point:" "Trading is inherently risky. To my knowledge, no trade has guaranteed outcome; therefore, the possibility of being wrong and losing money is always present. The best traders not only take the risk; they also have learned to accept and embrace that risk. The best traders can put on a trade without the slightest bit of hesitation or conflict, and just as freely and without hesitation or conflict, admits it is not working. They can get out of the trade – even with a loss – and doing so doesn’t resonate the slightest bit of emotional discomfort. In other words, the risks inherent in trading do not cause the best traders to lose their discipline, focus, or sense of confidence." Leave the umbrella. And mean it. Thank you and enjoy your trading! Feel free to get a discussion going in the comments. Have you caught yourself in this pattern? What helped?
OANDA:SPX500USDEducation
by laurie_trades
13
BTCUSDT is correcting before falling Liquidation phase, no bulls in the market, no buyer volume. A pullback is forming, during which Bitcoin may gather liquidity and test resistance before declining. Downward trend. Areas that may be of interest to MM: 66,450 - 67,250 - 68,200. A false breakout and the formation of a reversal pattern will confirm the weakness of the market and may become the cause of a possible decline. Scenario: a pullback to resistance, the inability to continue growth, a halt in movement, and a false breakout will be good signals for the start of a decline.
Short
by AndeWave
40
The 7 Mistakes Every Trader Makes at Least Once(Consider this a friendly audit before the market does it for you.) 🎯 1. Falling in Love with a Trade Every trader eventually finds a setup that feels special. It could be a top-traded coin or a major forex pair . The chart structure lines up beautifully, the narrative makes sense, momentum confirms the move, and confidence builds quickly. At that moment, the trade stops being an idea and starts feeling like a commitment. If price begins to move against the position, objectivity quietly fades. Instead of reassessing the premise, many traders search for additional confirmation that supports their original view. Lower timeframes get inspected, alternative indicators get consulted, and the stop level now feels flexible. A trade deserves respect, but it should never feel like an anchor. Markets reward adaptation far more than attachment. 📈 2. Confusing Activity with Progress Modern markets offer constant stimulation. Stocks trend, currencies fluctuate, crypto flexes the no-days-off mentality, and alerts light up screens across time zones. With so much movement available, participation feels productive. The temptation to stay engaged grows stronger and sitting flat feels like missing out. Over time, frequency increases and standards soften. Setups that would have been filtered out on a calm day suddenly appear acceptable. Selectivity separates sustainable performance from busy performance. The most consistent traders often trade less than expected because they focus on alignment rather than availability. In other words, less is more . 💸 3. Overestimating Conviction Through Position Size Have you had a few modest-size winning trades that make you think you’ll nail the next one so you bet big? Strong conviction often tempts traders to increase exposure. But then you disregard your risk management and the trade moves against you, wiping out your small wins. When markets disagree, the emotional weight of the position increases proportionally to its size. Position sizing remains one of the most underestimated elements of performance. Risk management protects clarity, and clarity supports better execution. 🌍 4. Ignoring General Market Conditions That one gets violated more than you know. A stock may look technically attractive while the broader index trends lower. A short setup may seem compelling while the overall market surges higher. Individual analysis can appear solid, yet outcomes suffer when the broader environment pushes in the opposite direction. General market conditions influence momentum, liquidity, and sentiment. Strong environments lift a wide range of assets, while fragile environments expose weaknesses quickly. Aligning strategy with prevailing conditions increases probability without changing a single indicator setting. 😤 5. Allowing Emotion to Drive Urgency After a loss, the desire to recover quickly can feel powerful. Energy rises, focus sharpens, and the next trade appears urgent. That urgency often disguises itself as determination. Emotional acceleration tends to reduce patience and expand risk. Decision quality declines when the goal shifts from executing a plan to correcting a prior outcome. And that can lead to one of the biggest market sins – revenge trading . Markets reward discipline far more consistently than intensity. 🕰️ 6. Cutting Winners Short Letting profits run sounds straightforward in theory, yet it challenges emotional comfort in practice. When a position moves into profit, closing it secures validation and removes uncertainty. Extended trends, however, often develop after initial hesitation. Traders who exit too early capture relief rather than full opportunity. Allowing a structured winner to develop requires trust in process and tolerance for fluctuation. Patience frequently produces better asymmetry than constant management. And if you have problems swinging a big line for longer, consider reducing your position size “to the sleeping level.” (Bonus points if you know where that quote is coming from.) 📚 7. Skipping the Review Performance improves through reflection. Traders who close their trading panels and move on without reviewing patterns often repeat the same behavioral tendencies. Documenting entries, context, emotional state, and outcome reveals valuable insights. Over time, recurring strengths and weaknesses become visible. Refinement grows from awareness. Awareness grows from consistent review. 🎁 The Takeaway Every trader encounters these seven patterns during their development. Experience brings exposure to enthusiasm, overconfidence, impatience, and evolving discipline. Success rarely depends on eliminating mistakes entirely. But if you recognize them after a few failures, you’ve done better than the average finance bro. Off to you : How often have you caught yourself violating any of the practices above? Share your experience in the comments!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
38