$ETHUSD to $2,500Alright, this one is setting up nicely… 👀
Let’s see how BINANCE:ETHUSDT could push towards the $2,500 mark 🔥
About a week ago, Ethereum was trading inside a clear bearish channel, printing consistent lower highs and lower lows — strong downtrend structure.
Then things changed…
On 20 April, price broke out of the channel, signaling a shift in structure. This move was further confirmed by a CHOCH (Change of Character) — indicating momentum flipping from bearish to bullish 📈
After the breakout, CRYPTOCAP:ETH made a solid push upward but is now pulling back from a minor FVG zone ($2382 – $2403), which is acting as short-term resistance.
Price is currently retracing toward a key support zone ($2309 – $2296) — a level that already aligns with:
• Previous breakout retest
• Demand zone holding structure
• Dynamic support from EMAs
At the same time, ADX is above 20, suggesting there’s still trend strength in the market.
👉 If this support zone holds, we can expect a strong bounce from here.
🎯 Upside Targets:
• $2405 (first resistance)
• $2500 (major target)
🛑 Invalidation:
• Breakdown below $2261 weakens the bullish setup
Community ideas
THE BREAK HAS HAPPENED – 45XX LIQUIDITY BELOW IS NEXTGold has now confirmed a break of the ascending trendline, marking the end of the recent short-term recovery structure. The key is not just the break itself, but the follow-through: price is holding below the trendline with weak or no meaningful pullback, indicating that buying pressure has faded and sellers are gaining control.
From a macro perspective, the broader narrative remains unchanged. Recent news has failed to push gold higher with strength, suggesting that safe-haven demand is gradually weakening. In early stages of economic slowdown, capital does not immediately flow into gold — instead, markets go through a phase of redistribution and positioning, which explains why rebounds are slow while sell-offs are sharp and decisive.
Structurally, gold is transitioning from a consolidation phase into a downside expansion phase. The break of the trendline signals that the market is ready to release liquidity from below, following a period of compression.
The trading scenario is clear:
Price is likely to continue pushing lower toward key support zones below, where liquidity remains. Any short-term pullbacks should be viewed as technical retracements, offering opportunities to re-enter sell positions rather than signaling a reversal.
Key areas to watch:
Lower support + FVG zones → primary downside targets
Short-term pullbacks → opportunities to sell in line with trend
In short, gold is no longer waiting — it has started its move. And for now, all signals suggest that the direction remains to the downside.
Stay patient and wait for pullbacks to execute sell positions according to today’s plan.
LucasGrayTrading
EURUSD Weekly Outlook: Hunting for the Next Order BlockTechnical Breakdown: Breakout Scenarios
1. The Bullish Breakout (Target: 1.1791)
Key Resistance (1.1760): This level is acting as the ceiling of the current consolidation phase. A clean break above 1.1760 (ideally on a 4H or Daily close) suggests that the "bullish structure" observed earlier in the month is resuming.
Target Logic: The 1.1791 level aligns with the April high and key resistance zones mentioned in recent forecasts (1.1785–1.1800).
Momentum Indicators: Watch for the RSI to cross above 60 and the MACD to show a bullish crossover on the H4 timeframe to confirm this move.
2. The Bearish Breakdown (Target: 1.1629)
Key Support (1.1669): This is a critical "make-or-break" zone. Several analysts are tracking 1.1660–1.1680 as the floor of the current ascending channel. A breach here would signal a shift from a "correction" to a "trend reversal."
Target Logic: If 1.1669 fails, the next logical liquidity pool sits at 1.1629, which matches major support levels from mid-April.
Catalyst: Sustained dollar strength as a "safe haven" due to the ongoing stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz could easily trigger this breakdown.
Market Context & Risks
As "The AI Gold Strat Master," you’ll recognize that the volatility in Gold (XAUUSD) often spills over here. Keep these factors in your peripheral vision:
Geopolitics: The collapsed Iran-US negotiations are currently providing a floor for the USD. Any surprise diplomatic progress would likely catapult the EURUSD toward your 1.1791 target.
Stagflation Fears: Germany’s recent GDP downgrade (cut to 0.5%) is weighing heavily on the Euro. If economic data continues to miss, the 1.1629 target becomes much more probable.
Central Bank Blackout: With the Fed in a blackout period ahead of next week’s meeting, price action is likely to be driven by technical levels and news headlines rather than official policy statements.
Trading Strategy Recommendation
Aggressive: Trade the "break and retest" of your specified levels (1.1760/1.1669).
Conservative: Wait for a 4-hour candle to close outside these boundaries to avoid "fake-outs" caused by the high-volatility news environment.
Review and plan for 27th April 2026 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results- analysed.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
XAU/USD (Gold) 45M🔍 Market Structure
The chart clearly shows a bearish market structure on the 45-minute timeframe. After a strong impulsive move downward (around April 21–22), price has continued forming:
Lower highs (LH)
Lower lows (LL)
Multiple confirmed Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside
This confirms sustained selling pressure and institutional control favoring shorts.
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) View
The market created supply zones (POI) around 4,770 – 4,830, where sellers previously entered aggressively.
Price is currently trading below these zones, indicating unmitigated supply above.
On the downside, a demand zone (POI) sits around 4,650 – 4,620, acting as the next liquidity target.
The recent price action shows a weak bullish retracement, lacking momentum — typical of a continuation setup rather than reversal.
📉 Current Price Behavior
Price is consolidating just below minor resistance (~4,720 area)
The pullback is corrective, not impulsive
Rejection wicks indicate selling interest on every push up
This suggests sellers are defending levels and preparing for another leg down.
🎯 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias)
Scenario: Short Continuation Setup
Entry Zone: Around 4,710 – 4,725 (minor resistance / liquidity area)
Confirmation: Rejection candle or lower timeframe BOS
Targets:
TP1: ~4,680 (internal liquidity)
TP2: ~4,650 (major demand zone)
⚠️ Risk Considerations
If price breaks and holds above 4,750, bearish structure weakens
Watch for sudden volatility due to news events (icons visible on chart)
🧾 Summary
Gold remains in a clear bearish trend, with price likely to continue lower after a weak pullback. The overall structure favors short positions targeting the demand zone below, unless a strong bullish shift invalidates the setup.
GBPUSD Weekly Market Map - Bullish Structure & Liquidity DevelopPair: GBP/USD
HTF Bias (4H / 2H): Bullish
HTF Overview:
Higher time frame structure remains bullish, and the overall mapping is now in an advanced stage. This is a process-driven framework—price doesn’t move randomly, it delivers through phases, and our job is simply to track those footprints.
In previous weeks, price delivered a controlled pullback within the bullish range. After internal liquidity was swept, there was no immediate midterm shift. Instead, price extended deeper, targeting higher time frame internal liquidity and mitigating a key HTF order block (blue zone) within discounted territory.
That mitigation confirmed the area of interest.
Midterm Structure:
Following the HTF reaction, price delivered a bullish midterm shift by breaking a key lower high. This established a new structural high and initiated early-stage distribution/positioning on both a minor and macro scale.
At this stage, price is likely to:
Seek a minor internal liquidity sweep
Retrace into the orange zone (refinement/test area)
Then look for continuation upon confirmation
Execution Model (30M → 5M):
I’ll be watching for:
Internal liquidity to be taken
A clean lower timeframe shift back bullish
Alignment with the HTF narrative before entry
No confirmation = no execution.
Narrative Insight (Advanced View):
Instead of viewing this through a candle-based model like CRT, I’m reading this as structural phases.
What I anticipate:
A sweep of internal liquidity
Quick structural formation (liquidity leg)
Reaction from the orange zone (manipulation phase)
Expansion higher
This aligns closely with a phase-based “count of three” concept, where the final phase delivers the true move.
Targets:
Midterm highs
(Only after confirmation and alignment)
Current State:
HTF mapping: Complete
POI (blue zone): Confirmed
Structure: Shifted bullish
Now: Tracking phase development
The move has started, but the full delivery still needs time.
Plan Moving Forward:
When the market opens, I’m not rushing execution.
My job is simple:
Track structure
Observe phases
Let price come to me
Updates:
Midweek refinement (Wednesday/Thursday)
End-of-week recap (Friday)
For real-time tracking and footprint reads, follow my Speak My Minds—that’s where I stay active during live conditions.
Mindset Note:
Patience is what allows structure to develop.
No patience = no edge.
Let the market reveal… then execute.
Patience is key
Tracking is the edge
let's go
Bitcoin - Higher, higher and higher!📢Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is starting the next bullrun:
🔎Analysis summary:
Bitcoin has been correcting more than -50% over the past couple of months. But looking at the higher timeframe, this chart is incredibly bullish. With the current very bullish all time high break and retest, Bitcoin could absolutely start its next parabolic bullrun.
📝Levels to watch:
$70,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GBPUSD GBPUSD an upward trend indicated by the dotted line, suggesting a possible bullish movement.
Rejection from Upper Levels: The chart highlights a rejection at higher price levels, indicating that the price has faced resistance around 1.3540, leading to a price reversal.
Support Levels: The price has recently bounced off a key support level around 1.3460, and the chart forecasts a potential drop toward 1.3420, suggesting further bearish movement.
Volume and Price Action: The chart shows price fluctuations, indicating some uncertainty in the market, but there’s a clear bearish pressure as the price starts to test lower levels.
Please support this chart by liking and commenting so we can share it with a wider audience. Your engagement means a lot to us, and we truly appreciate your support.
NZDJPY Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationNZDJPY market was in an uptrend, with price moving higher, supported by an upward trend line. However, the price recently reached resistance levels near 94.000 and above, leading to a bearish reversal.
Key price levels are marked on the chart, showing areas of support and resistance. The price has retraced to test the support around 93.673, with the next potential support zone near 93.400. The chart indicates a downward movement after a strong spike, suggesting that the price may continue lower, with possible target levels below 93.600.
This setup is useful for traders looking to take advantage of pullbacks and potential continuation of the bearish trend, with key levels for entry or exit points in mind.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
NAS100 Wyckoff Distribution SchematicNAS100 is indicating Wyckoff Distribution Schematic Structure which is pointing that it may be the market top and we may see a sharp drop in price. The key stages it has confirmed are:
1- PSY (Preliminary Supply): First major selling after a high-volume up-move, signaling the uptrend is losing momentum.
2- BC (Buying Climax): Sharp, panic-buying surge on high volume; smart money fills orders from emotional public buyers.
3- AR (Automatic Reaction): Rapid price drop following the BC, establishing the lower boundary of the trading range.
4- UT (Upthrust): Price revisits the BC high, confirming demand is exhausted and supply is in control (lower volume than BC).
5- Phase B (Consolidation/Cause): The main distribution area where smart money gradually sells. Range-bound, with up-and-down tests, building the "cause" for the future markdown.
If this theory holds we are currently at this stage.
6- UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution): A fake breakout above the range's resistance to trap buyers before a reversal. A massive bear trap.
If the structure follows the following pattern then entry can be taken with resistance lines being your SL.
7- SOW (Sign of Weakness): A sharp drop to the bottom of the range, often falling below the AR low.
8- LPSY (Last Point of Supply): A failed, weak rally (low volume) after a SOW, showing no buying interest. The last chance to sell before the crash.
9- Phase E (Markdown): The breakdown below the support level, initiating a sustained downtrend.
My entry would be at CMP and I would add to the position at LPSY.
Entry: 26840
Adding to position: 26640
SL: 26900 (You can keep moving your stop as the structure plays out)
Risk: 0.4%
RR: 1:15
Disclaimer: Trade as per your own risk management, this is not financial advice.
EURJPY is respecting a bearish trendline💱 EURJPY Trade Setup – Sell Opportunity 🔻
EURJPY is respecting a bearish trendline, with price currently reacting from a strong resistance zone — indicating potential downside continuation.
🔑 Sell Zone: 186,600
🎯 Targets:
✅ 1st Target: 186,500
✅ 2nd Target: 186,400
⏱ Timeframe: 15 Minutes
⚠️ Entry Confirmation:
Wait for clear rejection from resistance and bearish confirmation before entering the trade.
💼 Risk Management is Crucial
Always use proper stop loss & position sizing. Stay disciplined and protect your capital.
💬 Like | 🔁 Follow | 💭 Comment | 📤 Share for more setups 📊
USDJPY is forming an ascending triangle pattern💱 USDJPY Trade Setup – Sell Opportunity 🔻
USDJPY is forming an ascending triangle pattern, and price is currently reacting from a strong resistance zone — signaling a potential short move if rejection continues.
🔑 Sell Zone: 159,700
🎯 Targets:
✅ 1st Target: 159,600
✅ 2nd Target: 159,400
✅ 3rd Target: 159,300
⏱ Timeframe: 15 Minutes
⚠️ Trade Smart:
Wait for clear rejection and confirmation before entering. Avoid early entries in consolidation.
💼 Risk Management is Essential
Use proper stop loss & position sizing. Protect your capital at all times!
💬 Like | 🔁 Follow | 💭 Comment | 📤 Share for more setups
XAU/USD (Gold) Technical AnalysisMarket Overview:
The chart indicates a shift in sentiment from a bearish downtrend toward a potential bullish reversal. After a period of making lower highs, price action is consolidating at a major support level, preparing for a move toward higher liquidity zones.
Key Technical Factors:
Trend Shift: Price has transitioned from a sharp decline into a consolidation phase. The emergence of strong bullish candles (blue) suggests that buyers are beginning to absorb the selling pressure.
Demand Zone (Support):
The lower blue shaded box (approx. 4,680) is acting as a "buy zone." The market is respecting this area, indicating strong interest from bulls to defend this level.
Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The upper blue box (approx. 4,800) represents a price imbalance. In technical trading, these gaps act as magnets, as the market typically seeks to return to these "unfair" price areas to rebalance.
The Projection:
The current path suggests a "Stop Run" or retest of the demand zone to collect liquidity before an impulsive move upward.
Trade Setup & Targets:
Bullish Confirmation:
A break and hold above the horizontal resistance line at 4,750.
Primary Target:
The 4,800 FVG zone, which aligns with the previous swing highs.
Invalidation Point:
A daily close below the 4,680 demand zone would negate the bullish thesis and suggest a continuation of the downtrend.
USOIL at ultimate supporting region? What's next??#USOIL... The region is 85.20 to 86.40
Lots of things are going to happen in the next 72 hours
One more important thing is that the market holds that region multiple times.
So guys that region is the ultimate region now and until it holds there is no short.
NOTE: we will gor for cut n reverse below that region on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAGUSD SILVER What do you thing?I believe that silver is still in an upward trend and will correct downwards before resuming its rise. However, it will then fall sharply, especially since the major structure is bearish, particularly after the trend reversal in the upward minor structure.
Let's see what happenes?
#ETHUSDT — Descending Wedge & High R/R Zone#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is trending towards a bounce. A retest of this boundary is expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a downward trend, and this trend is likely to continue due to the overbought condition.
A key support zone (in green) was found at 2224, and the price has bounced off this zone several times, making it a strong support level.
The price is trending towards the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching. This trend supports an upward move.
Entry Price: 2322
First Target: 2344
Second Target: 2369
Third Target: 2402
You can close at the second target or wait for the third target to be reached. The choice is yours.
Stop Loss: At the resistance zone (in green).
Remember this simple rule: Money Management.
Any questions? Please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Bullish Breakout Retest at Key Support – Continuation SetupThis is a clean intraday bullish continuation setup after a breakout. Here’s the structured breakdown:
🔍 Market Structure
Price was initially range-bound (box consolidation) on the left.
A bullish breakout occurred → strong impulsive move upward.
Then we saw a distribution / range at the top (purple box) followed by a sharp drop (liquidity sweep).
Market formed a new consolidation base (yellow box), showing accumulation.
⚡ Current Move
Price has now made a strong breakout from the lower range (clear bullish impulse).
It reclaimed the previous resistance, now acting as support (~4731 area).
This confirms a shift to bullish structure (higher high formation).
📈 Trade Idea (as marked)
Entry zone: Around the retest of 4731 (support flip)
Stop loss: Above 4756 (protecting against fake breakout continuation)
Target: Around 4709 (note: your target is actually below entry, so this looks like a short RR box drawn on a bullish setup — slight mismatch)
👉 Important:
The structure suggests bullish continuation, but your risk/reward box is positioned like a short trade.
If bullish:
Target should be above 4756 (continuation highs)
If bearish:
You’d need rejection + structure break, which is not confirmed yet.
🧠 What Price Is Likely Doing
After breakout, price is:
Either forming a bullish flag / continuation
Or creating a liquidity grab before expansion
⚠️ Key Levels
4731 → key support (must hold for bulls)
4756 → liquidity / resistance
4709 → downside target if breakdown happens
🧭 Bias
Short-term bias: Bullish
But:
Wait for confirmation on retest (reaction at support)
Avoid chasing highs → better to trade pullback or confirmation candle
$FETUSDT Higher ??
BINANCE:FETUSDT finally woke up after that long downtrend and gave a solid CHoCH → BOS structure shift. That’s your first signal bulls are stepping in strong.
We got:
CHoCH → trend reversal confirmed
BOS → bullish continuation structure
Price holding above short-term EMAs = strength building
Right now price is consolidating with a healthy pullback near the $0.21 zone — a typical reload area.
Play Setup:
Entry Zone: $0.21 area
Stop Loss: $0.1918 (below structure = invalidation)
Targets:
TP1: $0.2532
TP2: $0.3118
What I’m Seeing:
Market flipped bullish after a prolonged downtrend
Pullback looks controlled, not aggressive selling
As long as $0.19 holds, structure remains bullish
Break above recent highs could trigger strong momentum
Invalidation:
If price loses $0.19, the setup is invalid.
Final Take:
This is a clean structure-based reversal followed by continuation potential.
If momentum sustains, price can push toward the $0.30 zone.
Trade the setup, not emotions.






















