(BTC/USD) 4H Chart Analysis — “Ascending Structure at Resistance🔵 Market Structure: Bullish but Slowing
Price has been making higher lows, respecting a clean ascending trendline.
Each orange circle marks a trendline bounce, confirming buyers are stepping in consistently.
This structure = controlled uptrend, not a parabolic move.
🔴 Resistance Zone (≈ 77.5K – 78K)
Price is currently stalling under a strong resistance block.
Multiple rejections here suggest sell orders are stacked.
This is a decision zone — breakout or reversal.
🔵 Key Horizontal Levels
77,078 – 76,082: Mid-range support / previous resistance (now flip zone).
If price loses this area, momentum weakens significantly.
🟢 Major Support Zone (≈ 73.5K – 74K)
Highlighted green box = strong demand zone.
Aligns with:
Previous consolidation
Psychological round level
Likely target if breakdown happens.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Black Path)
Rejection from resistance → break of trendline
Loss of 76K support → accelerated drop
Target: 73–74K support zone
This would indicate:
Trend exhaustion → short-term correction
📈 Bullish Scenario
Clean breakout above 78K resistance
Retest + hold above it
Continuation toward new highs (~80K+)
This requires:
Strong volume + decisive candle closes above resistance
⚖️ Key Takeaway
Trend is still bullish, but price is compressing at resistance
The ascending trendline is the line in the sand
You’re looking at a breakout vs breakdown setup
Community ideas
Bullish bounce off?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise towards the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 74,688.62
1st Support: 65,364.60
1st Resistance: 84,304.03
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Bias vs. Potential Bullish Reversal Zone Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Outlook - 4H Timeframe 🔍
Gold is currently exhibiting a quiet and bearish price action as it remains below key resistance levels. However, we are at a pivotal junction. Here is the plan:
1. The Bearish Scenario (Current Bias):
The price is currently respecting the IFVG (Inversion Fair Value Gap) as resistance. As long as we stay below this zone, the primary target remains the Sellside Liquidity (SSL) resting at the $4,600 level (indicated by the red arrow down).
2. The Bullish Shift (The Pivot):
If we see a strong 4H candle close above the IFVG , our bias will immediately switch to bullish. A break above this level confirms that buyers have taken control, seeking to fill the larger Fair Value Gap (FVG ) above and target the Buyside Liquidity at the recent swing highs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance/Pivot: The orange IFVG zone (~$4,730).
Downside Target: $4,600 (SSL).
Upside Target: The major FVG zone (~$4,960).
Conclusion : Stay patient. Let the market confirm the direction by either rejecting the IFVG or closing above it.
Short-term BUY on USDCHF.USDCHF long-term view is always bearish because of the rate differentials between the two safe havens.
But the lower timeframe structure usually gives proper intra-day setups for active traders.
A weekly range has been created that is most likely suitable for buys in the coming days, and I have this analysis in view.
#USDCHF
Buy setup
1:5 RR
Expectation, 1-2 weeks.
A positive swap rate trades.
Let's get it.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Analysis – Breakout Watch at Key ResistanceDescription:
This chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, where price is currently trading inside an ascending channel. The upper boundary of the channel is acting as a strong resistance zone around the 77,000 area.
Price has been making higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish structure, but it is now struggling to break above resistance. A rejection from this zone could lead to a downside move toward the mid or lower range of the channel (around 72,000–70,000).
If price successfully breaks and holds above the resistance, it may continue the bullish trend with further upside momentum. However, failure to break out increases the احتمال of a short-term correction.
This setup highlights a potential decision zone for both breakout and rejection scenarios, making it important for short-term traders.
Not financial advice
Kevin Warsh, Fed Chair as early as May 16?This is the key monetary policy question of mid-2026: who will be the next Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, and what monetary policy will be conducted in the coming months as geopolitics fuels an energy crisis and a rebound in inflation?
Jerome Powell’s term at the head of the Fed ends on Friday, May 15, and Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh earlier this year to succeed him. However, ultimately, it is the U.S. Senate that confirms or rejects the President’s choice, and there is a full process to follow, particularly within the Senate Banking Committee.
Several steps must be followed in order to reach the final validation of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair, and some stages could still lead to a blockage of his appointment. Opposition would need to be minimal for him to be confirmed in time to take over from Powell as early as May 16. But this is not yet guaranteed. Below are the various steps and obstacles to overcome for Kevin Warsh to take office as Fed Chair in spring 2026.
In detail, the initial stages have been completed without major difficulty. The presidential nomination and the formal transmission of the file to the Senate were quickly validated, placing the candidacy on institutional tracks. However, ethical and financial vetting, although advanced, remains a standard point of attention in such processes, particularly due to asset disclosures and potential conflicts of interest linked to Warsh’s past roles in the private sector.
The real political test now lies in the hearing before the Senate Banking Committee. This step, currently underway, is decisive as it allows senators to question the candidate on his vision of monetary policy, his stance on inflation, and his independence from the executive branch. In a context of heightened political tensions, this hearing represents a high risk of blockage.
The table below summarizes the steps required to validate Kevin Warsh’s appointment as Fed Chair.
In the short term, the vote of this same committee is the most critical hurdle. Scheduled for the end of April, it could either validate the candidacy or significantly hinder it in the event of strong partisan opposition. Even if the committee gives a favorable opinion, nothing is guaranteed: the final vote in the full Senate remains required and is also expected to be uncertain, with a risk of rejection.
Thus, at this stage, the probability that Kevin Warsh will actually be in office by May 16 is about 50%. Any delay in the parliamentary calendar or political opposition could postpone his appointment.
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ES - April 27th - Daily Trade PlanApril 27th - Daily Trade Plan - 7:50am
*Before reading this trade plan, if you did not read yesterday's take the time to read it first! (You can view the posts in the related publication section) *
If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also!
My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective.
** NOTE - Contract Roll: ES is in the process of rolling over from the March 2026 (ESH2026) front month contract, to June (ESM2026) front month contract. You will see that the contract price has changed and past levels are now different. I will be using the June (ESM2026) contract levels moving forward until the September contract.
*If you trade before I write out my daily trade plan. You can look at the prior days chart and 9/10 the levels already pre-planned out are still being respected. **
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Our overnight High is 7207 and the Overnight Low is 7172. We continue to squeeze higher with the end of month this week.
I am still targeting 7240-7250 with this squeeze since the March 30th Lows.
Key Levels Today
1. 7187 - Flush & Reclaim
2. 7172 - Flush & Reclaim
3. 7154 - Flush & Reclaim
4. 7137 - Flush & Reclaim
Very simple and straightforward price action we are looking for today.
I will post an update around 10am EST.
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Purple = A Weekly Low (Current or Previous Week)
Blue = Key Support/Resistance Levels
Yellow = The previous day low (Includes the current weekly daily lows)
Red - Overnight Session High/Low (Prior to my post)
EUR/USD Short term sellsMy analysis for EUR/USD this week is similar to the others, as the dollar is currently rising, which means I’m mainly looking for short opportunities against the dollar, including EUR/USD.
EUR/USD Confluences:
DXY is rising, which supports a bearish outlook.
This pair has been breaking structure to the downside.
Price has been moving lower overall recently.
There is a nearby unmitigated higher-timeframe supply zone.
So, as price retraces back up into the 6-hour supply zone I’ve marked near current price, I’ll look for potential sell opportunities back down.
BTCUSD (1H) chart...BTCUSD (1H) chart.
Price is currently around 78,075
Market is range-bound → slight bullish bias
Resistance zones clearly marked above, support below (~77K zone)
🎯 Targets (based on my setup)
🟢 Bullish scenario (more likely right now):
Target 1: 78,500 – 78,700 (my marked zone)
Target 2: 79,300 – 79,500 (major resistance / supply)
🔴 Pullback before move (very possible):
Price may drop to 77,400 – 77,000 (support zone)
Then bounce for upside targets
⚠️ Key Levels
Support: 77,000 – 77,400
Resistance: 78,500 → 79,500
Break below 77K = bearish continuation → 76K possible
My view
My idea is good 👍 but don’t assume straight pump.
BTC often does liquidity sweep (down first) → then move up.
GBPCHF : Bearish Setup – Look for Shorts at ResistanceHello Trading Fam! 👋
Market is going down (bearish) 📉
Price is coming back to a resistance zone (orange area)
This is a place where sellers usually enter
Idea: Look for a sell (short) from that zone.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long Gold (XAUUSD) IDEA - Trade Setup: Bullish Technical BounceEntry: 4684 (on confirmation of support hold or bullish candle reversal)
Stop Loss: 4672 (12-point risk — placed below immediate structure/low for tight protection)
Take Profits:
TP1: 4692 (+8 points)
TP2: 4702 (+18 points)
TP3: 4715 (+31 points)
TP4: 4727 (+43 points)
Extra juice (runner): 4740 area (+56 points)
Risk & Trade Management (Professional)
Defined Risk: Maximum 12 points per trade. Size position according to 0.5–1% of account equity risk tolerance.
Risk-Reward Profile: Favorable asymmetry — approximately 0.67R at TP1, scaling up to 3.6R at TP4 and >4.6R on the runner.
Scaling & Management: Recommend partial profit-taking (e.g., 30–40% at TP1/TP2). Move stop loss to breakeven after TP1 is hit. Trail remaining position using a 5–8 point buffer, previous swing low, or ATR-based trailing stop after TP2. Monitor for momentum exhaustion near psychological round numbers (4700/4720) or resistance zones.
Invalidation: Full exit on decisive breach and close below 4672 (strong bearish candle or increased volume).
News & Market Context Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading in the $4,700 region amid a corrective phase following a strong 2025 rally that peaked near $5,590 earlier in 2026. The metal has pulled back roughly 16% from its all-time high, influenced by elevated real yields, periods of USD strength, and partial de-escalation signals in Middle East tensions (US-Iran negotiations and Strait of Hormuz-related developments).
Key drivers for this setup:
Geopolitical Premium: Ongoing uncertainty from stalled US-Iran talks and oil price volatility continues to provide underlying safe-haven support, though markets have shown resilience and occasional “buy the dip” behavior in risk assets.
Monetary Policy: The April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting (with Powell’s final press conference) is a major near-term event. Steady policy with balanced language could limit downside, while any hints of future easing (ahead of leadership transition) would be constructive for gold. No immediate high-impact data is dominating today, allowing technical setups to breathe.
Technical Backdrop: Price action shows consolidation with repeated testing of support zones near $4,670–$4,700. The proposed long targets a measured move higher within the recent range, capitalizing on potential short-term bullish continuation or relief bounce before the FOMC.
This is a high-probability, low-risk technical setup with tight stops to preserve capital in a volatile environment. Enter only with clear confirmation (price action/volume). Always align with your overall risk rules and market bias.
IF TRADE NOT TRIGURED UNTIL 11:00 am New York time then Cancel and lets wait for another time for another Setup.
XAUUSD — No Clear Bias, Waiting for BreakoutIn continuation of our previous Gold analysis, we still do not see a clear directional bias at this stage. Price action remains heavily influenced by the ongoing geopolitical situation in the Middle East, creating uncertainty and sudden headline-driven volatility.
Because of this, we are presenting another possible Elliott Wave count scenario. The market appears to be developing within a compressed structure where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain possible depending on how price breaks from this range.
At the moment, we are not taking any trades. We prefer to stay patient and allow the market to confirm direction through a clean breakout before making any decisions.
📍 Break above resistance could open upside continuation
📍 Break below support could trigger downside acceleration
📍 Until then, neutrality remains best
As always, we focus on scenarios, not certainties.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week
Here is my updated structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 4744 - 4790 area
Resistance 2: 4825 - 4887 area
Resistance 3: 4994 - 5055 area
Resistance 4: 5192 - 5239 area
Support 1: 4513 - 4681 area
Support 2: 4307 - 4381 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP-USD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBPUSD taps into a strong supply area after a sharp bullish push, forming a liquidity grab above prior highs. Bearish reaction suggests smart money distribution with potential downside continuation.
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Stop Loss: 1.3545
Take Profit: 1.3516
Entry: 1.3532
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
XAUUSD: Range-bound market, buy low and sell highGold opened lower again today, marking the third consecutive week of lower openings. After the opening, the price rebounded but fell again near the 4730 resistance level.
Gold prices continue to fluctuate amid uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran situation. The main reason is the lack of effective market guidance; without immediate direction, a clear trend cannot emerge, and more and more investors are confused, hindering a breakout from the current range.
Last week, gold prices fluctuated downwards, and rebounds presented selling opportunities. We repeatedly sold at higher levels and achieved good profits. This week, the market is consolidating, requiring real-time strategy adjustments.
I believe this consolidation will likely continue in the short term. Unless there are unexpected market events, there will be no catalysts to push gold prices higher.
Therefore, we can maintain a range-bound view for today, buying on dips and selling on rallies, focusing on the 4730 resistance and 4670 support levels.
FOMC Levels BreakdownCurrently price is mean reverting around the January 2026 FOMC Release.
JANUARY FOMC Release Price 49,430
Resistance at 50,000
Support at 49,000
I will be looking for price to pullback to FOMC support using the September 2025 release. Price level 47,054
May, I will be looking for this month to be a sideways range with a bearish bias until we sell off down into September FOMC support.
This rally was just a spike up into the peak formation high, resistance at 50,000 and to get back up to the January 2026 FOMC level. My year end target is still 56,000.
Let's look at the 1 hour chart to see some fantastic FOMC support and resistance trades.
EURAUD - Bearish Structure – Short SetupHello Trading Fam! 👋
Market is overall bearish (downtrend channel).
Price is at a key structure/resistance zone.
This area acts as a sell zone.
Plan: Look for shorts.
Expectation: price continues lower.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOOGLE, Massive Bull-Flag-Formation, About to Break Out!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about GOOGLE on the 4-hour timeframe perspective. In recent times I spotted a lot of interesting and fruitful setups within the market. These setups can turn out really profitable and come across with strong breakouts. One of these is GOOGLE. It already showed a strong bullish bounce off the 280 zone. And now there are further signs that I spotted and which are important to watch out for.
As shown in my chart, GOOGLE already formed this gigantic bull flag formation in which it strongly pulled towards the upside from the 280 zone, approaching higher spheres. Furthermore, it already stabilized above the 9-EMA marked in green, which now serves as a major support within the whole setup. Currently GOOGLE is already attempting to break out above the upper boundary of the bull flag.
Once the breakout above the upper boundary happens as shown in my chart, this will offer a great bullish setup from which GOOGLE is likely to unfold further potentials. As marked in my chart, the setup will confirm with the breakout above the upper boundary, considering a solid entry zone between the 300 and 305 levels. Once this happens, the major bullish target zone of the whole structure will be activated.
The final bullish target of this gigantic bull flag formation is within the 345 level. Once this zone has been reached and the bullish momentum holds on, further continuation is highly likely. Considering the next times the most important price moves happen with the breakout, it will be highly important to watch out for further signs.
In this manner, thank you for the great support!
It will be important to consider the next market evolutions in the next times.
XAUUSD 4H – Distribution or Just a Pause Before the Next Move?Gold pushed higher but is now showing signs of hesitation, with price struggling to maintain momentum after the recent move. The current structure looks more like a controlled pullback rather than a full breakdown, at least for now.
What stands out is the choppy price action, which typically signals indecision. This is where most traders get trapped, trying to predict direction while the market is simply building liquidity.
If buyers step back in, this could transition into another expansion phase. But if momentum continues to fade, the move starts to look more like distribution, opening the door for a deeper correction.
This is not a clean trend, this is a setup. And setups like this are designed to shake out weak positioning before the real move reveals itself.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.






















