Decoding General Dynamics: Strategy & TechMacroeconomics and Geostrategy
Global instability drives massive European rearmament initiatives today. Nations aggressively expand their defense budgets to counter emerging threats. General Dynamics capitalizes heavily on these urgent macroeconomic shifts. Rapid geopolitical realignments force NATO allies to modernize aging military fleets. This aggressive geostrategy creates sustained demand for advanced combat systems. Robust global defense spending fuels undeniable economic growth for top contractors. Supply chains adapt swiftly to meet escalating international orders. Investors closely monitor these macroeconomic indicators for long-term stability. Consequently, General Dynamics secures highly lucrative, multi-year government contracts worldwide.
Management and Business Models
Assertive management directly drives General Dynamics' recent financial successes. Leaders prioritize a highly resilient, diversified business model. They secure vital revenue streams through continuous Pentagon contracts. Recently, the company secured a $450 million Marine Corps reconnaissance vehicle contract. Furthermore, Abrams tank support revenues recently surpassed $1 billion. These strategic wins validate management's aggressive corporate vision. Industry trends heavily favor proven, reliable military contractors over risky startups. Agile leadership adapts resource allocation to meet rapid government demands. This proactive culture ensures steady cash flow and soaring investor confidence.
Technology and Cybersecurity
General Dynamics leads the high-tech defense sector aggressively. The GDIT division recently certified autonomous surveillance towers for the US borders. These high-tech systems utilize advanced sensors and artificial intelligence. Autonomous border monitoring represents a critical technological leap forward. Furthermore, robust cybersecurity protocols protect these vulnerable data networks. Hackers constantly target critical national security infrastructure. General Dynamics deploys elite cyber defenses to neutralize digital threats instantly. This technological superiority guarantees reliable intelligence gathering for government agencies. Modern warfare demands unbreachable, automated surveillance networks.
Science, Innovation, and Patents
A dynamic company culture fosters relentless scientific innovation. Engineers prioritize applied science to develop next-generation combat capabilities. Rigorous patent analysis reveals a massive portfolio of autonomous systems. General Dynamics fiercely protects its proprietary defense technologies. This aggressive intellectual property strategy stifles market competition effectively. Groundbreaking high-tech research continuously improves heavy armor survivability. Researchers focus intently on enhancing battlefield lethality and troop protection. Relentless innovation ensures the company maintains its dominant industry position. Ultimately, scientific superiority guarantees General Dynamics' sustained global influence.
Technology
April 25, 2026 GOOGL. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Kraken
- Instrument: GOOGLx/USD (xStocks)
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy limit order
- Price: 345.27
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 331.35 (-4.10 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high โ bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy Stop above last weekโs high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
AI Infra > DeFi Infra: The 4-Year Relative Strength Breakout!1. The "Big Base" Logic
Observation: A 4-year base (2022โ2026) in the NQ/ETH ratio.
This isn't just a price move; itโs a liquidity migration.
#DeFi (Ethereum) was the hero of the low-interest-rate era (2020-2021).
But in 2026, the "Real World" needs GPUs, data centers, and power grids.
The Nasdaq is the ticker for that physical reality.
The Trigger: Intelโs +24% move and Nvidiaโs Blackwell dominance are the fundamental "fuel" for this technical breakout.
2. AI Infra (Hardware) vs. DeFi (Software)
The "Physical" Advantage: AI infra is now a $2.5 Trillion market.
It involves tangible assets (Chips, Fiber, Cooling).
The "Protocol" Fatigue: DeFi has become hyper-fragmented. There are too many L2s and protocols competing for the same liquidity. AI Infra, however, is a bottleneck economyโthere is only so much compute to go around.
3. Key Levels
The Pivot: 13.00. A weekly close above this "Neckline" completes the 4-year U-Base.
The Targets: * Target 1 (25.25): The "Linear" target. This assumes Nasdaq continues to grow while ETH stays stagnantโa "repricing of utility."
Target 2 (56.50): The "Blue Sky" log target. This represents a world where AI agents become the primary users of the internet, making traditional human-centric DeFi secondary.
#NQ1! #ETHUSD
#NVDA, #INTC, #BTCUSD
#AIInfrastructure #RelativeStrength #DePIN #MacroEconomy #Semiconductors
In 2026, weโve moved from "training" models to "running" them (Inference).
Running them requires constant, stable hardwareโexactly what the Nasdaq companies are building.
April 25, 2026 META. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Kraken
- Instrument: METAx/USD (xStocks)
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy limit order
- Price: 683.38
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 653.05 (-4.40 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high โ bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy limit order above last weekโs high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
April 25, 2026 MSFT. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Kraken
- Instrument: MSFTx/USD (xStocks)
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy limit order
- Price: 433.70
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 411.41 (-5.10 %)
Idea: Enter on a breakout of the high of last weekโs candle - a signal of continued upward momentum.
Entry: Buy Stop above last weekโs high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
INTEL Smashed through ATH. What's next?Intel (INTC) smashed through its long forgotten August 2000 All Time High (ATH), hitting out $69.00 long-term Target that we set 3 months ago (January 26, see chart below) much earlier than expected, after stronger-than-expected quarterly results and upbeat outlook driven by rising demand for AI-focused data center chips:
So the obvious question now is: 'What's next?'
Well based on the 17-year Bullish Megaphone since the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis, it can rise as high as $110.00, which is just below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension as it did on the 2014 rally, before correcting back below the 1.0 Fib, finding Support on its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) just above the 0.786 Fib. Even though it's quite long-term to project, but we expect that to be around $57.00.
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XAUUSD Stalls Below Sell Zone
Gold remains under short-term technical pressure as price continues to stay capped below the 4728โ4735 sell zone. The current structure suggests that the market still lacks enough strength to reclaim higher ground, while the short-term bearish trend remains intact.
Technical Structure
From a technical perspective, gold has already lost its previous bullish structure and is now trading below a descending trendline that continues to act as dynamic resistance. Each rebound remains limited, which shows that sellers are still controlling the short-term price action.
The reaction at 4728โ4735 remains a key signal. This area continues to act as an active supply zone, as price retested it but failed to hold above it. At the same time, the lower-high structure remains unchanged, further supporting the case for continued weakness.
The volume profile around the recent rebound also suggests that the market is accepting price below resistance rather than building momentum for a stronger recovery. In other words, current buying pressure is still not convincing enough to reclaim the lost value area.
Key Levels
Sell zone / resistance: 4728โ4735
Dynamic resistance: Descending trendline
Support 1: 4669
Support 2: 4645
Deeper liquidity zone: 4608
Scenario & Expectation
The preferred scenario remains bearish continuation after short-term rebounds.
Price may still retest the 4728โ4735 area, but unless that zone is reclaimed and held, selling pressure is likely to remain dominant. If the current structure stays intact, gold could move back toward 4669 first. A break below that level would then expose 4645, followed by the deeper liquidity zone near 4608.
On the other hand, if price manages to reclaim 4735 and hold above it, the short-term bearish structure would begin to weaken and the market would need to be reassessed.
Conclusion
Gold is still trading in a technically weak structure, with clear rejection from the 4728โ4735 sell zone, pressure from the descending trendline, and an intact lower-high formation.
Until this resistance area is decisively reclaimed, the market continues to favor a move toward lower liquidity levels.
AMD at top of 6-year Channel Up giving huge cyclical Sell SignalAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been trading within a 6-year Channel Up since the March 2020 Low and this week is about to test the pattern's Top (Higher Highs trend-line). This current 5-week rebound was initiated after almost touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the market's long-term Support.
As the Time Cycles reveal, a Cycle Top here is expected, with the price having also just hit the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which is where it priced the previous Higher High on March 04 2024. The only difference with the last two Highs is that the 1W RSI had already hit its own 6-year Resistance since October 20 2025.
In any case, this is the most optimal long-term sell entry on AMD, and depending on whether is bottoms in 315 days (as in 2022) or 399 days (as in 2024), we have a potential $130 - 115 Target Zone. Technically the 1M MA100 (red trend-line), which is the market's multi-year Support, is expected to hold.
Also, if the 1W RSI hits the 32.25 Support, which is where both the 2022 and 2025 bottoms where priced, it will be the strongest technical Buy Signal regardless of the price AMD will be at at the time.
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22.04.2026 ADBE. The time to go long has come.- Exchange: Kraken
- Instrument: xStocks
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy limit order
- Price: 254.51
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 227.14
Idea: Enter on a breakout of the high of last weekโs candleโa signal of continued upward momentum.
Entry: Buy Stop above last weekโs high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
D-Wave 2026: Quantum Scale Amidst the NVIDIA HypeD-Wave Quantum Inc. reclaimed the financial spotlight in April 2026. A dramatic 46% stock surge followed NVIDIAโs latest quantum computing integration. However, beneath this "NVIDIA hype" lies a complex web of strategic challenges. This article analyzes the forces driving D-Waveโs current market volatility.
Geostrategy and the Quantum Race
Quantum supremacy has moved from laboratory theory to a matter of national security. The United States and its allies view quantum infrastructure as a critical defense pillar. D-Wave benefits from this geostrategy through government contracts and research grants.
Strategic sovereignty drives investments in domestic superconducting chip fabrication. Any disruption in global semiconductor supply chains poses a risk to D-Waveโs hardware timeline. Investors must watch international trade policies closely as quantum technology becomes a regulated export.
The NVIDIA Catalyst and Macroeconomics
NVIDIAโs recent "quantum bet" acted as a massive macroeconomic tailwind for D-Wave. The integration of quantum annealing with GPU-driven AI clusters has captivated Wall Street. This synergy suggests a new era of hybrid computing power.
Despite the surge, D-Wave faces broader economic pressures from high-interest environments. Capital-intensive tech firms require consistent growth to justify their valuations. While the "NVIDIA effect" provides momentum, long-term stability depends on sustainable commercial revenue.
Industry Trends and New Competition
New-to-market quantum firms are aggressively challenging D-Waveโs early lead. These rivals utilize diverse architectures, including trapped-ion and neutral-atom technologies. D-Waveโs focus on quantum annealing distinguishes it, but also limits its general-purpose applications.
The industry is shifting toward "Quantum-as-a-Service" (QaaS) business models. Companies now prioritize cloud-based accessibility over selling physical hardware. D-Wave must innovate its Leapโข cloud platform to maintain its competitive edge against agile newcomers.
Technology, Science, and Patent Analysis
D-Waveโs Advantage2โข system represents the pinnacle of current quantum annealing science. Patent analysis reveals a significant fortress of intellectual property surrounding superconducting qubits. These patents protect D-Wave from direct imitation by emerging hardware startups.
High-tech advancements in dilution refrigeration allow for more stable quantum operations. However, the science of error correction remains a primary hurdle for the entire sector. D-Waveโs ability to scale qubit counts while reducing noise will determine its future dominance.
Cybersecurity and the Quantum Threat
The rise of quantum computing creates an existential threat to current encryption standards. Cybersecurity firms are racing to develop post-quantum cryptography (PQC) to protect global data. D-Waveโs systems, while optimization-focused, contribute to the urgency of this transition.
Strategic leadership must position D-Wave as a partner in security, not just a disruptor. Protecting the integrity of quantum-classical data flows is now a technical priority. A single breach could undermine the trust required for enterprise-level adoption.
Management, Leadership, and Culture
CEO Alan Baratz has adopted an assertive stance regarding the companyโs market position. He recently warned that while NVIDIAโs interest is validating, D-Wave must own its ecosystem. This leadership style prioritizes operational independence and aggressive commercialization.
Company culture at D-Wave emphasizes rapid iteration and high-performance engineering. Maintaining this innovation pace is difficult as the firm transitions from R&D to a commercial powerhouse. Effective management will be the deciding factor in navigating the 2026 quantum landscape.
META approaching the ultimate Resistance: 1D MA200Meta Platforms (META) has been trading within a Channel Down since its August 13 2025 High displaying strong structural symmetry with the current move being a Bullish Leg, the 2nd of this pattern.
This was initiated after an oversold 1D RSI and a -30% decline from the previous Lower High. Right now it is approaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is a Resistance level that only broke once since October 30 2025.
An overbought 1D RSI would be ideal to compliment that, but even without it, the market seems technically ready to initiated the 3rd Bearish Leg of the Channel Down towards the next Support, the 1W MA200 (red trend-line). Another -30% decline will target $500.
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AMAZON 2022 Bear Cycle blueprint has April starting a sell-off.Amazon (AMZN) had a massive green 1W candle last week that came straight after a 1D Death Cross, recovering the losses of the last 2 months. In any other occasion that would be a bullish reversal signal but in this instance this seems to be the last rebound before a strong sell-off.
That is based on Amazon's 2022 Bear Cycle, which the 2026 price action has been copying very tightly so far. Both of their previous Bull Cycles started on December (2018 and 2022 respectively) and they topped in November (2021 and 2025 respectively). A 1W MACD Bearish Cross came as confirmation to both and now we are on the month of April and this rebound (2026), which is where in April 2022 the price made the final dead cat bounce before a sharp sell-off within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci Zone.
The 2022 Bear Cycle eventually bottomed on its 1M MA100 (red trend-line) and the 0.786 Fib from the previous Cycle bottom, so we are still looking for Amazon to target $150.00 at least, which would be a 1M MA100 test. Still, it would be just above the 0.5 Fib and far from a -57% total decline as the 2022 Bear Cycle. If it repeats that in full, then we can even have a 1M MA150 (black trend-line) test around $115.00 but that extension would require a 1M (monthly) candle closing below the 1M MA100. We will update if that happens.
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BROADCOM Will the ceasefire invalidate the 1D Death Cross?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) formed a 1D Death Cross 10 days ago but this week's U.S. - Iran ceasefire printed a dramatic rebound that hit the top of the 4-month Channel Down (red). Last time Broadcom formed a 1D Death Cross was 1 year ago after a -45.45% decline (Tariff War). The one before that was halfway through the 2022 Inflation Bear Cycle, which eventually completed a -38.80% correction.
The 4-year Channel Up that started in 2022 would technically make a perfect Higher Low if the stock corrects again by -38.80%, targeting $255.00, which would also be just above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Low, just like the October 2022 Low was.
With the 1W RSI still far from the 35.00 Support, which priced the last two major bottoms (2022 and 2025) of the Channel Up, we believe that the market will eventually capitalize on the 1D Death Cross and extend the Bear Cycle towards Q3 2026 at least.
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XAUUSD Faces Pressure at the Sell Zone
Gold is starting to lose momentum after testing the upper resistance layer inside the ascending structure.
The chart still shows a broader recovery from the April low, but the current reaction suggests that upside is meeting pressure at an important decision area.
Trend Pulse
The market has been trading inside a rising channel, which kept the short-term structure constructive.
However, price is now sitting right under the sell zone and close to descending trendline pressure, which makes this area critical for the next move.
This means the bullish recovery is still visible on the larger intraday structure, but the immediate momentum is weakening as price struggles to push through resistance.
Key Price Territories
The chart gives a very clean map:
Sell zone: around 4,750 - 4,760
Support strong: 4,697
Mid support: 4,608
Sell-side liquidity: 4,554
Major downside target / liquidity strong: around 4,480
As long as gold remains below the current sell zone, the market is vulnerable to a corrective pullback.
Structure Read
This setup looks like a market reaching exhaustion near resistance rather than building a fresh breakout.
The projected path on the chart suggests that if sellers defend the current zone, price may rotate lower in stages:
first into 4,697
then toward 4,608
and potentially into the 4,554 - 4,480 liquidity pocket if downside pressure expands
That keeps the short-term bias more cautious, even though the larger recovery channel is not fully broken yet.
Jasperโs Take
Gold is trading at a technical decision point.
The broader rebound structure is still visible, but the current price action shows hesitation directly under resistance.
That makes the 4,750 - 4,760 area the key zone to watch.
If price fails there, the chart favours a deeper retracement toward lower support.
Only a clean break above the sell zone would weaken the immediate bearish correction scenario.
Main levels to watch:
Resistance: 4,750 - 4,760
Support: 4,697
Lower support: 4,608
Liquidity below: 4,554
Major downside zone: 4,480
For now, the cleaner read is simple:
gold is testing resistance, and unless buyers reclaim the sell zone with strength, the market may rotate lower before any new bullish expansion appears.
MICROSOFT Is it really following BITCOIN's Bear Cycle??Microsoft (MSFT) has been on a Bear Cycle since its October 28 2025 All Time High (ATH). The underlying pattern throughout these +5 months has been a Channel Down and it looks incredibly similar to Bitcoin's.
If this positive correlation continues and Microsoft extends copying BTC's Bear Cycle, then we should be expecting a rejection at or near its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for a new Bearish Leg to begin.
Based on the correlation of the first two Bearish Legs (2nd -4% stronger that the 1st) then we can assume that the new one (4th) will be around -18% (-4% added to -14% of the 3rd).
A $325 Target is technically realistic from here.
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XAUUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AN OVERVIEWGold at a Turning Point โ Safe Haven Demand Returning?
Gold is entering a highly sensitive phase as both technical structure and geopolitical tension begin to align.
Recent developments around rising tension involving Trump and Iran are adding uncertainty back into the market. In environments like this, gold often attracts fresh attention as a safe-haven asset, although short-term price action can still remain volatile.
Market structure overview
From a technical perspective, gold has recovered strongly from the recent sell-off and is now trying to stabilize above key support.
The current structure shows:
a developing higher low
price still holding above the ascending trendline
momentum shifting from correction into possible continuation
This suggests the previous downside pressure is fading, while buyers are starting to rebuild control.
Key zones to watch
4505 โ main buy zone / structural support
4866 โ first key resistance
5000 โ psychological resistance zone
5400+ โ long-term expansion target
Primary scenario โ bullish continuation
If price reacts positively from the 4505 support area, gold may build enough momentum for another push higher.
In this scenario:
price could first move back toward 4866
then test the 5000 psychological zone
if momentum and safe-haven demand continue to build, the broader upside may extend toward 5400+
Alternative scenario โ deeper pullback first
If price fails to hold above 4505, the market may go through a deeper correction before any meaningful continuation higher.
Still, as long as the broader structure remains intact, that move would look more like a liquidity sweep than a complete bearish reversal.
Fundamental view
Right now, gold is being pulled by two opposing forces:
geopolitical tension, which supports gold
short-term USD and macro pressure, which can create volatility
That is why price may not move in a perfectly clean trend, but instead react sharply around important levels.
Ceciliaโs view
For me, this is not the kind of market to chase impulsively.
It is a market to watch carefully at key zones.
My focus stays on:
reaction at 4505 support
momentum near 4866โ5000
Because that is where the market will reveal whether gold is truly preparing for a stronger recovery โ or simply pausing before another correction.
Final thought
Gold is no longer trading like a market in clear decline.
It is moving into a decision phase, where structure and news may start working in the same direction.
And when technical support begins to align with safe-haven demand, that is usually when the next meaningful move begins.
Current bias: bullish above support, but expect volatility.
APPLE on a 1D MA50 test. Massive sell-off ahead?Last time we looked at Apple (AAPL) was 1 month ago (March 03, see chart below), giving a very timely Sell Signal following the 1D MA50/100 Bearish Cross:
The price responded instantly with a drop but over the past week or so we are seeing a short-term rebound. This rebound took place just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and is testing now the 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As we can see in the past 4 years and the two major corrections of the long-term Channel Up, the market made the first Lower High of the correction around March (2025 and 2022), before getting rejected and starting an aggressive Bearish Leg below the 1W MA50.
Both of those patterns bottomed after breaking below the Channel's 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. On top of that, a 1W MACD Bullish Cross below the 0.0 level, has been the most effective Buy Signal within this 4-year time-frame.
Additionally, since the 2025 correction bottomed after it broke below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), we expect it to happen once more. Our long-term Target remains $205.00, unless the 1W MACD makes a Bullish Cross below 0.0 earlier.
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NVIDIA On the brink of a strong correction towards $110.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) hit last month its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but despite marginally breaking below it, the price managed to close the 1M candle above it, thus so far supporting the market.
This is a critical Support trend-line as every time NVIDIA broke and closed below it within its 11-year Channel Up, the price dropped further, touching the Higher Lows trend-line shown on the chart.
That has been particularly evident during Bear Cycles (technically the Bearish Legs of the Channel Up), which also hit and bottomed on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The 2022 Bear Cycle even bottomed marginally below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (blue) from the previous bottom, while the 2018 Bear Cycle just above it.
Notice that all Bear Cycles started after an aggressive 1M RSI Bearish Divergence was completed, which is what we have right now.
So a break below the 1W MA50 would practically confirm a new Bear Cycle and the minimum target would be the 1W MA200 and the Higher Lows trend-line around $110. This time the 0.382 Fib is considerably below it.
An additional powerful Buy Signal for the long-term, is the 1M RSI 42.00 Support. Both previous Bear Cycles bottomed exactly on it (September 2022 and December 2018 respectively).
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Technologies or commodities? The bear market has begun for QQQ How deep is the technological rabbit hole?
The US technology market is led by the Nasdaq index.
It contains all 7 major US stocks that account for the largest weight of the IG:NASDAQ and SP:SPX index: MSFT , META, GOOG, AMZN, TSLA, NVDA - these stocks have a significant impact on the index itself. And judging by the latest news, their affairs are getting worse...
Were there fundamental reasons for growth in past years?
Yes, many large companies have significantly reduced costs thanks to AI, but investments in this area have also increased.
Ai is the stock's main growth driver, but investor confidence in the outlook is starting to slow and analyst forecasts are starting to deteriorate.
At the same time, there are more and more layoffs in the United States related to the introduction of AI in junior positions in companies across the country. And due to rising oil prices, the situation could get much worse because consumer confidence is at its lowest level since 2008.
But according to technical analysis, everything is optimistic
In terms of technology, we are still in a long-term growing trend that began in 2023.
From the maximum, Nasdaq fell by only -11%; now we cannot talk about a โbear marketโ in this index, but we are probably at the very beginning.
The nearest support zone on the daily time frame is 22600p.
We will probably fall to these levels this week, but what next?
Growth until the end of spring!?
It is likely that in April-May we will see a good short squeeze and there are enough reasons for this:
1) According to the index of fear and greed, we are now at 14/100 (extreme fear), almost always such moments mean a short-term (!) bottom.
2) Shorts are actively increasing in the markets due to the war in Iran and the market is pricing in a long period of war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Any positivity will cause a wave of growth, and closed shorts will become additional fuel.
3) RSi is oversold at
lower timeframes: 1 hour (47); 4 hours (39); 1 day (36) - so there are a couple of days left for the short-term fall.
On higher timeframes the price is neutral 1 week (38);
1 month (61), 3 months (71!) - therefore, the medium-term potential for a fall in the main US index is still present.
I think that a new round of decline will occur in June-October, then there will be a final wave of decline, which should be used for long-term purchases.
Friends, the situation can change a lot any day, so in case of any changes, I will update this forecast on my social networks.
I will report my major purchases there too.
Be especially careful in the market this year, the bear market is unforgiving.
DELL Can it really defy the Bear Cycle??Dell Technologies (DELL) has been trading within a Channel Up since its IPO and is currently still on its 3rd major Bullish Leg, against the general trend of the stock market.
So can this stock really defy an upcoming Bear Cycle on the overall market? Technically yes, as long as its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is holding, because every time it broke, a Bearish Leg started.
So as long as it holds, there are high probabilities to see another +375.18% Bullish Leg in total (at least), targeting $310.
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TESLA completely lost its 1D MA200. Instant drop highly probableTesla (TSLA) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Down, having turned early on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to its Resistance. Since last Thursday, it also lost its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which was the long-term Support.
Ahead of a 1D Death Cross, with the 1D RSI also staying below its Lower Highs Resistance, yesterday's failure to reclaim the 1D MA200 can deliver a new round of selling towards the bottom of the Channel Down. It's first Bearish Leg completed a -22.40% drop, so if the current one repeats it, we are staring at a $340 short-term Target.
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AMAZON 1D Death Cross confirms Bear Cycle. Minimum Target $150.Amazon (AMZN) completed earlier this month a 1D Death Cross while its 1W MACD made a Bearish Cross (at 20.00). The last time both these happened at the same time was in 2022 at the beginning of the previous Bear Cycle.
Actually the time symmetry (and price patterns to some extent) among the two fractals and the structure preceding the Bear Cycles, are very similar. Both started in a December (2018 and 2022) and topped in a December (2021 and 2025 respectively). Now (March 2026) we are in a similar trading sequence/ consolidation below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as in March 2022.
Incredible time symmetry, which if it continues to hold, expect the price to target the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) next (which is where the 2022 Bear Cycle bottomed) around $150 at least. That is our minimum Target for this Bear Cycle. If global geopolitics along with uncontrolled inflation and prolonged rate pauses (or even hikes) continue to dominate the economic environment, then the Cycle could drop by -56.90% (like in 2022) targeting $115.00, which is closer to the 0.786 Fibonacci level and can make contact with the 1M MA150 (black trend-line).
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