NASDAQ Channel Up is 'good until it's not'.Last week (April 20, see chart below), we took a short-term approach on Nasdaq (NDX) as it opened with the same gap down as the week before it (April 13):
This pattern is 'good until it's not'. In simple words, as long as the Channel Up holds and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) supports, the price should keep rising slowly on a short-term scale. As again we opened the week on a (small this time) drop, we can see the price targeting 27800.
If the 4H MA50 breaks, we expect a strong accelerated correction, targeting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) around 25200.
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Nasdaq
APRIL 27 Bitcoin chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
My analysis is optimized for TradingView.
If you press the Replay button, you can check real-time movements.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
*Long Position Strategy based on the movement path of the red finger
1) $77,556.3 Long Position Entry Zone / Stop Loss if broken below the green support line
2) $79,100.1 Long Position 1st Target -> Good 2nd Target Price
If broken below the green support line
Bottom at the bottom -> Up to Zone 1 is open.
Please use my analysis post merely as a reference and for practical application.
I hope you operate safely by strictly adhering to trading principles and using stop losses as a mandatory measure.
Thank you.
NOW: Massive Head-Shoulder-Formation, Bear Market Setups!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about the ServiceNow (NOW) stock on the weekly timeframe perspective. I am analyzing the log perspective chart, as this shows better relations between the low and high price levels. In the past, the stock has increased massive bearish selling pressures with declines never seen before in the stock's history.
In the past few weeks, the stock has dropped sharply, over -30%, penetrating the 80 level. On the broader timeframe perspective, there is just a much bigger formation forming. The neckline of this huge head-and-shoulders formation is now being tested by this massive bearish selling pressure towards the downside. This is marking the point of completion of the left shoulder and the head of the formation.
Considering the volume structure, the stock has accelerated heavy bearish volume increases. The options market also shows a major bearish sentiment, with implied volatility rising above 50 and put option placements rising above 250%. This is a dire situation, as the stock also faces competitor threats from large-cap operators. Considering this dynamic, the whole sentiment of the stock shows a highly bearish development.
From here on, the stock is likely to move on completing the right shoulder of this massive bearish formation. The whole formation will be completed with a final breakdown below the neckline, with the confirmational formation as shown in my chart. Once this breakdown emerges, the bearish target zones will be activated, setting the stock up for another -60% drop towards the bearish direction.
Once the target zone of 31.40 has been reached, further assumptions about the bearishness will be highly important for the further development.
What do you think about the stock? Are you currently considering trades on the short side?
Let us know in the comments!
VP
NasdaqOn the Nasdaq, if the price fails to break through the 27373 level, I expect a short-term downtrend.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
This content is not financial advice. Always conduct your own financial due diligence.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
NASDAQ Short Potential - 4/27Price is on an extreme rise, and I see a pullback happening soon due to the previous year's rise for 40% without a significant drop. The NASDAQ then dropped 10% after, and this is the resulting rise back, which broke the all time high. Many signs point to bears coming in soon.
Entry, targets and stop loss on screen.
APRIL 24 Bitcoin chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
My analysis is optimized for TradingView.
If you press the Replay button, you can check real-time movements.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
On the left, marked with the purple finger, I have connected the strategy exactly to the entry point of the long position I entered yesterday, 77.2K.
*The long position strategy is based on the time before and after touching section #1 marked with the purple finger at the top.
-Please pay close attention as there are many sections to explain today.
1) After confirming the touch of the purple finger at Zone 1 at the top,
At the bottom, the red finger indicates the entry zone for the $77,174.9 long position / Stop-loss price if the green support line is broken.
2) $79,274 long position 1st target -> Target prices in the order of Good, Great.
(If the rise is successful, refer to the expected path indicated by the pink finger in the middle.)
*If the price drops immediately without touching the purple finger at Zone 1:
At the bottom, Zone 2 indicates the entry zone for the $76.1K long position / Stop-loss price if the green support line is broken.
The stop-loss price is the same for those maintaining the $77.2K long position entered yesterday.
If the green support line at Zone 2 is broken,
the price may drop from the Bottom to Zone 3 over the weekend, so please exercise caution.
- Currently, a MACD dead cross is in progress on the 12-hour chart.
If the purple support line is maintained without breaking,
the warning signal will be ignored, and a vertical surge may occur.
Please use my analysis merely for reference and practical application.
I hope you operate safely by adhering to trading principles and strictly using stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
SPX500 M30 Bullish Re-Accumulation After Pullback📝 Description
After a strong impulsive rally, price enters a corrective phase and taps into a confluence of FVG and order block zones. The current structure suggests a re-accumulation phase before continuation toward higher liquidity.
________________________________________
📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish
Preferred Setup:
• Entry: 7150 – 7153
• Stop Loss: Below 7143
• TP1: 7164
• TP2: 7172
• TP3: 7179
________________________________________
🧠 ICT & SMC Notes
• Pullback into H1/M30 FVG
• Holding above key structure and bullish continuation intact
• Weak bearish momentum (corrective leg)
• Setup aligned with continuation after mitigation
________________________________________
📌 Summary
As long as price holds above 7143, the pullback looks corrective and favors continuation toward 7164 then 7179.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
Equity markets remain supported by risk-on sentiment and liquidity flows, which can drive continuation higher after short-term pullbacks.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
USNAS100 | Bullish Momentum Holds Ahead of Earnings & FedUSNAS100 | Bullish Momentum Holds Ahead of Earnings & Fed
U.S. futures were muted as U.S.–Iran peace talks stalled, while markets shifted focus back toward AI-driven optimism, earnings season, and this week’s FOMC meeting.
Despite geopolitical uncertainty, equity sentiment remains supported by resilient earnings and continued appetite for technology-led risk.
The Nasdaq remains in a bullish structure near highs, though Fed commentary could become the next volatility catalyst.
Technically:
As long as price trades above 27260, bullish momentum remains active toward 27510, with further upside toward 27720.
A 1H close below 27260 would trigger a correction toward 27000, with 26730 as deeper support.
The FOMC may decide whether this becomes a pullback or continuation.
Pivot Line: 27260
Support: 27000 – 26730
Resistance: 27510 – 27720
Is NQ Topping Out After SMT + C2 Signal? Next Move Lower or FakeSEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ Multi-Timeframe Outlook (Clean Read)
Higher Timeframe Context (Daily)
- We’ve printed a C2 reversal candle → this is not random, it signals potential shift in delivery
- Internal Range Liquidity + Devil’s Mark acting as reference points
- If C3 confirms → expect expansion phase to the downside
👉: This is no longer a “buy every dip” environment. Market is preparing for a repricing move
4H Context (Where the shift started)
- Clear 2-stage SMT / strength failure at highs
- Highs were taken but no continuation → classic distribution behavior
- Price now compressing instead of expanding higher
👉 This is important:
Strong markets don’t stall at highs, they expand.
This one didn’t → weakness.
1H Execution View (Where the trade is)
- Price retraced into H1 SIBI (premium)
- Structure shows:
- Expansion → Consolidation → Manipulation (SMT)
- Now transitioning into distribution phase
👉 This is where you act, not guess.
NASDAQ: Major Broadening-Wedge-Breakout Incoming!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about the NASDAQ index on the weekly timeframe perspective. In my recent analysis about the S&P 500 index, I already mentioned that I am bullish for the stock market in 2026. While I considered the initial pullback and backup after this as unavoidable, this exact scenario now happened, and the main stock market recovered after this crucial pullback.
Looking at my chart, we can watch there that the index is building this crucial broadening wedge formation. Such a formation is offering a perfect bullish long entry scenario once it is fully completed. The price already moved forward with the completion of the wave count within the broadening wedge. Now the price already heavily penetrates the upper boundary with strong volatility.
Once the breakout above the upper boundary of the broadening wedge formation emerges, it will complete the whole scenario and definitely activate the target zones. The initial target zone is as marked in my chart within the 30000 level. Once this level has been reached, further assumptions about the momentum need to be made.
If the bullish momentum holds on, a continuation and pointing towards higher targets is also likely. Right now, the sentiment is also bullish as call options interest increased. Potential short squeezes above the upper boundary of the wedge could fuel additional bullishness. Further assumptions will be highly important once the scenarios unfold.
VP
4/27 Pre-Market readMORNING GAME PLAN 🚨
📊 Market: MNQ / QQQ
🧠 Bias: NEUTRAL → Lean Bearish (short-term)
🔥 Key Levels:
Resistance: 27,450 – 27,500
Support: 27,380 (London Low)
Breakdown Target: 27,300 – 27,250
⚠️ Current Condition:
Market is CHOPPY. No clean direction yet.
🎯 What I’m Waiting For:
🟢 LONG SETUP:
Hold ABOVE 27,380
Reclaim VWAP
Strong bullish confirmation
➡️ Target: 27,450 → 27,500
🔴 SHORT SETUP (Preferred):
Break BELOW 27,380
Failed retest
Bearish confirmation candle
➡️ Target: 27,300 → 27,250
🚫 NO TRADE ZONE:
27,380 – 27,450 (Chop range)
💡 Rule of the Day:
“If price is inside the range, I DO NOTHING.”
⏳ Patience = Profit
❌ Chasing = Losses
Let’s execute.
ZM: Bearish Targets Hit, New Bullish Sequence FormingNASDAQ:ZM already completed the dirty work.
After the post-2020 collapse, price pushed into the C targets of two bearish sequences . That matters because once bearish expansion objectives are reached, the market is no longer chasing downside in the same clean way. The easy selling phase is already behind us.
Now the weekly chart is starting to shift.
ZM has begun printing bullish sequence behavior from the lows. Price created a bullish leg, pulled back into the blue BC zone , and buyers stepped in exactly where they needed to. That is the first real clue that the market may be moving from bearish exhaustion into accumulation and continuation.
The logic is simple:
Price reached bearish C targets.
Then price started building bullish structure.
Then price pulled into BC.
Then buyers defended it.
Now the next logical objective is the blue C target above the current range.
But the bigger picture is even more interesting.
If blue C gets reached and broken with strength, the next major magnet becomes the bearish WCL zones from the two larger bearish sequences. Those WCLs sit much higher, and they represent the area where the old bearish structure may need to be retested before the market decides whether Zoom is only bouncing or truly rebuilding a higher-timeframe bullish cycle.
I am not treating this as a straight-line prediction.
The cleaner read is this:
ZM is trying to transition from bearish completion into bullish continuation.
The key confirmation is whether buyers can keep defending the BC structure and push price toward the blue C target. If that happens, the bearish WCL cluster becomes the next serious area of interest.
This is not about calling the exact bottom.
It is about reading where sellers already got paid, where buyers are stepping in, and where the next logical liquidity magnets are sitting.
Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. This is my personal chart analysis and market framework. Trade your own plan and manage your own risk.
Bullish potential detected for PANWEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for NASDAQ:PANW along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the rising VWAP (currently $164.33), or
(ii) below previous potential support on the daily chart at $155.57 (from the open of 13th April).
AI Infra > DeFi Infra: The 4-Year Relative Strength Breakout!1. The "Big Base" Logic
Observation: A 4-year base (2022–2026) in the NQ/ETH ratio.
This isn't just a price move; it’s a liquidity migration.
#DeFi (Ethereum) was the hero of the low-interest-rate era (2020-2021).
But in 2026, the "Real World" needs GPUs, data centers, and power grids.
The Nasdaq is the ticker for that physical reality.
The Trigger: Intel’s +24% move and Nvidia’s Blackwell dominance are the fundamental "fuel" for this technical breakout.
2. AI Infra (Hardware) vs. DeFi (Software)
The "Physical" Advantage: AI infra is now a $2.5 Trillion market.
It involves tangible assets (Chips, Fiber, Cooling).
The "Protocol" Fatigue: DeFi has become hyper-fragmented. There are too many L2s and protocols competing for the same liquidity. AI Infra, however, is a bottleneck economy—there is only so much compute to go around.
3. Key Levels
The Pivot: 13.00. A weekly close above this "Neckline" completes the 4-year U-Base.
The Targets: * Target 1 (25.25): The "Linear" target. This assumes Nasdaq continues to grow while ETH stays stagnant—a "repricing of utility."
Target 2 (56.50): The "Blue Sky" log target. This represents a world where AI agents become the primary users of the internet, making traditional human-centric DeFi secondary.
#NQ1! #ETHUSD
#NVDA, #INTC, #BTCUSD
#AIInfrastructure #RelativeStrength #DePIN #MacroEconomy #Semiconductors
In 2026, we’ve moved from "training" models to "running" them (Inference).
Running them requires constant, stable hardware—exactly what the Nasdaq companies are building.
IREN: When a Bitcoin miner switches to AI cloudIris Energy builds vertically integrated data centers running on 100% renewable energy to mine Bitcoin and lease computing power for AI training and inference. The company trades on NASDAQ and everyone who understands the shift from mining to AI cloud is watching because this is no longer about diversification but about survival after the halving and access to 70%+ margins.
Fundamentals
The next earnings report is due May 7 2026. On April 23 the company announced its inclusion in the MSCI index, which will bring passive institutional capital inflows.
On April 14 2026 the company reached 50 EH/s hashrate, hitting its yearly target. A new data center in Childress Texas is coming online by the end of 2026.
On March 4 a deal was signed to purchase over 50000 NVIDIA B300 GPUs, bringing the total fleet to 150000 GPUs. Expected annual AI Cloud revenue by the end of 2026 exceeds 3.7 billion dollars. A five year contract with Microsoft worth 9.7 billion dollars is backed by 1.9 billion in prepayments and 3.6 billion in GPU financing, covering 95 percent of capital expenditures. Over the last 8 months the company has raised 9.3 billion dollars in financing. Cash on hand stands at 2.8 billion dollars.
Risks include additional share issuance creating dilution risk for existing shareholders. Bitcoin volatility remains.
Technicals
On the weekly chart a bull flag has formed. Price closed on Friday at 50.64. We are waiting for the upside breakout. Targets from the chart are 111.00 and 255.00.
The market values IREN on its ability to convert GPU power into AI Cloud revenue. The May 7 report will show real numbers on B300 deployment. The bull flag formation is completing with targets above.
PLUG: recharged on the retest, or another fork with no voltage?PLUG tapped perfectly into the 1.85–2.00 zone - a clean confluence of the MA200, the ascending daily trendline, and the main support that launched the summer rally. Oscillators dipped into oversold, candles show buyer tails, and volume confirms defense of the level. As long as price holds above the trendline, the bullish scenario stands: breaking above 2.70 opens 3.36, and a move above 3.36 targets 4.58. The extended target at 6.56 requires a full breakout from the broader accumulation range.
Company: Plug Power is one of the key players in hydrogen fuel-cell technology, producing electrochemical systems, electrolyzers, and industrial energy solutions for logistics, manufacturing, and infrastructure.
Fundamentally , as of November 19, Plug remains pressured but gradually stabilizing. OPEX continues to decline, manufacturing efficiency improves, and the company expands partnerships in the green hydrogen ecosystem. Revenue volatility persists, but contraction slows, while new electrolyzer deployments build the future pipeline. Scaling production decreases unit costs, and margin improvements suggest the company is climbing out of the worst phase. Policy support and industrial demand keep hydrogen a long-term thematic growth story - though near-term risks remain.
Technically , the bullish structure holds above 1.85–2.00. A breakout above 2.70 activates 3.36, and strength above 3.36 brings the 4.58 target into play. Losing the MA200 risks a prolonged range, but current reaction shows buyers stepping in with precision.
Plug pretends it's collapsing, but really - it’s just plugging itself in for the next run.
Bullish potential detected for AMATEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for NASDAQ:AMAT along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the recent low from the gap-up of $377.78 (8th April), or
(ii) below previous potential support on the daily chart at $371.00 (from the open of 25th March).
Market DNA — US100 Cycle 3 | Fractal 3 CompletionTitle:
Market DNA — US100 Cycle 3 | Fractal 3 Completion (Time-Stamped Structural Record)
________________________________________
This publication documents the structural progression of US100 (Nasdaq 100) Cycle 3,
from Phase 1 through Phase 4, alongside the completion of Fractal 3.
All structural elements presented here were previously defined and time-stamped
prior to the completion of the observed movement.
________________________________________
Structural Record (Chronological References)
Phase 1 — Initial Structural Definition
Phase 3 — Early Activation (N reached before Phase 2)
Phase 4 — Cycle Completion
Fractal 3 — Pre-Declared Structural Record
________________________________________
Observed Sequence
The cycle followed a non-linear phase progression:
Phase 1 → Phase 3 → Phase 2 → Phase 4
Price first reached the N level before interacting with the lower trapezoid boundary,
and later completed the full structural path by reaching the trapezoid upper boundary.
________________________________________
Fractal Progression
Fractal 1 → Initial structural encoding (M and P(c) definition)
Fractal 2 → Structural interaction within defined boundaries
Fractal 3 → Final structural activation and completion layer
Fractal 3 was documented before completion,
and later fulfilled within the predefined structural domain.
________________________________________
Time-Stamped Observation
Phase 1 (Initialization): 2026-02-01
Phase 4 (Completion): 2026-04-15
Fractal 3 Pre-Declared Record: 2026-04-20
________________________________________
Summary
This record presents a full structural cycle where:
• Structure was defined in advance
• Phase transitions occurred in observable sequence
• Fractal 3 was documented prior to completion
• The cycle completed within predefined structural boundaries
________________________________________
This is a structural observation record.
Further validation requires additional documented cycles.
________________________________________
Not financial advice
Leverage above 10 is prohibited
Do not invest essential personal funds
This analysis is part of public model documentation
QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook – Week 16 of 2026 (20-24 APR)QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook
Last Week’s Recap
Long Scenario 1 played out exactly as expected. Once price broke above the Upper SD and secured acceptance, the market pushed higher and reached all time highs.
However, from an execution standpoint, we were waiting for a retest of the Upper SD to enter. Since price continued higher without giving that retest, we did not take the trade.
The goal is not to chase price. If you do that, you end up entering at the top. The focus is to move with price, not after it.
(Reference from last week’s post is shared on the side)
This Week’s Scenarios / Prediction
By mid last week, the market reached all time highs and clearly shifted into a bullish structure. The main catalyst behind that move was the ceasefire news, supported by the technical breakout.
At this stage, I do not think price has enough energy to continue directly higher from all time highs. A pullback to build energy would be the healthier structure.
This week, I will continue with a level to level approach.
Long Scenarios
There are three potential bounce zones I am watching for long opportunities.
Scenario 1:
If price taps Bounce Zone 1 at 642 and closes above it, I may look for a long entry on the pullback.
This is a weaker level, more of an LTF zone, so position size should be reduced. I will personally use smaller size here.
Targets: 645, 650, 655
Scenario 2:
Bounce Zone 2 at 636 is the strongest HTF reaction level.
If price reaches 636, finds support and closes above it, I will look to take Calls on the retest.
Targets: 642, 645, 650, 655
Partial profit taking makes sense across these levels.
Scenario 3:
If price sells off aggressively and reaches Bounce Zone 3 at 618, I expect a strong reaction from that area.
On a confirmed bounce and retest around 618, I will look to take Calls.
Targets: 626, 636, 645
Short Scenario
Scenario 1:
Bounce Zone 2 is expected to act as support.
However, if strong geopolitical news breaks this level and price closes below 636 on a 4H basis, I will look to take Puts.
Targets: 626 and 618
Position Management Rules
Take partial profits. In this kind of environment, reversals can happen quickly.
After the first TP, move the stop loss on the remaining position to entry and lock the trade.
Always wait for confirmation at levels. The goal is not to predict but to react with price.
I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NAS100: Conflict Resolved — Full Bullish Alignment ReturnsSmartFlow SMC Daily Cross-Asset Analysis — Apr 24
NAS resolved its conflict — and chose the bullish side. Structure flipped back to Bullish while price remains well above EMA200 ($26,868). Full bullish alignment: Bullish structure + Above EMA200.
Key Observations:
NAS surged from $26,650 to $27,100+ in a powerful move, with clear BoS confirmations along the way and an MSS label at the structural shift. Price is now $188 above EMA200 — the strongest margin of any asset today.
Watch for: continuation above $27,100 resistance. A failure here and drop back below EMA200 would re-enter conflict.
Cross-Asset Context:
NAS and BTC resolved from yesterday's all-conflict state in opposite directions. NAS went full bullish, BTC went full bearish. This risk-asset divergence is unusual and suggests the current rally may be equity-specific rather than broad risk-on.
| Asset | EMA200 | Structure | Status |
| XAUUSD | Below | Bullish | ⚠️ Conflict |
| BTCUSD | Below | Bearish | 🔴 Aligned Bearish |
| EURUSD | Below | Bullish | ⚠️ Conflict |
| NAS100 | Above | Bullish | ✅ Aligned Bullish |
Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
XAU/USD | Geopolitical Tensions determine everything now!As you can clearly see, Gold has been dropping heavily ever since this week's open. At first, it closed the huge New Week Opening Gap and then started the drop, going as low as 4668, then it bounced back up, reaching 4772 and dropped yet again, currently being traded at 4697. Also, considering that Gold lost the key levels of 4802 and then 4780, it is currently bearish, but if the war ends and the geopolitical tensions end, Gold easily goes back to the Bullish run and go back to the 5000 zone and higher!
Now I expect Gold to drop further down, going back inside the April 6th NWOG and drop below the April 13th NWOG.
At first I expect Gold to sweep the liquidity below the 4668 level and then go towards the April 6th NWOG C.E. at 4657, and if it fails to stabilize above there, I expect it to go to sweep the liquidity below the 4644 level and finally the 4638 level, the Low of April 6th NWOG.
Targets: 4685, 4675, 4665, 4655 and 4645.
Everything is now bound to the result of the war, whether it ends, when the Strait of Hormuz will be opened or if it continues for now? We shall wait and see, President Trump renewed the Ceasefire for 3 to 5 days, so I guess we'll find out what happens by the weekend, until then, take care of your positions and do NOT make any unnecessary moves.






















