GOLD - Technical AnalysisICMARKETS:XAUUSD bounced off the 4668 support level toward the end of Friday’s session following a long squeeze, thereby breaking the local bearish structure. The market’s next move depends on geopolitical developments.
The dollar closed Friday in the red, and technically, the index looks poised to continue its decline. Oil is stagnant. Gold, technically, is still under pressure from bears, but Friday’s session closed above Thursday’s close, which gives us positive signals, provided that the fundamental and geopolitical backdrop supports the market. (The previous idea—a break below 4668—remains valid, provided gold returns to that level.) This coming week, all eyes are on the U.S.-Iran negotiations, as well as fundamental data: the Fed’s rate decision, the regulator’s meeting, and GDP and inflation figures.
Resistance levels: 4740, 4795
Support levels: 4668, 4644, 4600
Technically, at the moment, I expect a bounce from 4700 (4688) and a retest of the 4740 liquidity zone. A close above 4740 will open the door for continued growth toward 4800.
However, if the price fails to react at 4700 and retreats to 4668, the likelihood of a further decline will resume.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Fibonacci
EURJPY - The end of the correction will lead to an uptrend FX:EURJPY remains in a bullish trend. Signs of the correction coming to an end are emerging, which generally gives the market a chance to continue its upward movement.
The currency pair has been in a bullish trend since last March. Technically, the bullish structure remains intact. The weak Japanese yen is supporting the euro’s upward movement.
Technically, the price is breaking through the resistance of the local correction and local consolidation. If the bulls keep the price above 186.8–186.87, we can expect growth to continue in the medium term.
Resistance levels: 187.92, 187.70
Support levels: 186.87, 186.43
A retest of 186.87 and price consolidation above that level will confirm the price’s readiness for growth. Zones of interest: 187.7–187.95
Best regards, R. Linda!
SMC Outlook: Bitcoin Preparing for Impulsive Move Towards 86k+Bitcoin is currently trading within a range after multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirming a bullish trend. Price is now pulling back towards a key discount zone (0.5 – 1 level) and a strong demand area around 74,800 – 75,500.
This retracement looks like a liquidity grab (SSL) before continuation, as market often revisits discount zones before expanding higher.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
* Demand Zone: 74,800 – 75,500
* Mid Support (0.5 level): ~77,100
* Range High / Resistance: 79,500 – 80,000
🎯 Upside Targets:
* Target 1: 81,800
* Target 2: 84,100
* Target 3: 86,500
🔍 Market Expectation:
* Short-term: Dip into 75K zone (liquidity sweep)
* Then: Strong bullish move breaking 80K
* Continuation towards 84K → 86K+
⚠️ If price breaks and holds below 74K, bullish structure weakens and deeper correction can occur.
⸻
Note: Analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (BOS, MSS, liquidity & discount zones).
Not Financial Advice
ATOMUSDT: WCL Retest Before The Next Bullish Expansion?OKX:ATOMUSDT is showing an interesting continuation structure on the 4H chart.
After building a bullish ABC sequence from the April low, price expanded strongly into the blue ABC target zone and swept the external liquidity sitting above the previous high. That move was not random. It completed the first bullish objective and forced late buyers into the market near the top of the local expansion.
Now the important part is the reaction after the target.
Price is currently pulling back from the blue C area, and the cleanest bullish scenario would be a deeper retracement into the blue WCL zone. This area also lines up with internal liquidity, which makes it a logical reload zone if buyers are still in control.
The setup is simple:
Price already reached the first bullish target.
External liquidity has been taken.
Now price may need to rebalance lower into internal liquidity.
If the WCL holds, the next logical expansion target becomes the higher green ABC target around the 2.10–2.19 area.
I am not interested in chasing price in the middle of the range. The better trade location is lower, inside the WCL, where risk can be defined cleaner and buyers have a reason to step back in.
The key confirmation for me would be a bullish reaction from the WCL, ideally with a liquidity sweep, displacement, and a 4H or lower-timeframe market structure shift. Without confirmation, the zone is just a zone.
Invalidation would come if price accepts below the WCL with bearish displacement, because that would weaken the bullish continuation idea and suggest the market is not ready for the higher C target yet.
For now, ATOM is in a “pullback before continuation” structure — not a blind buy, not a prediction, just a mapped sequence with clear liquidity logic.
Main idea:
Let price come back into value. Let the WCL prove itself. Then look for continuation toward the higher C target.
Not financial advice. This is only my personal market analysis and trading framework.
NVO: Quality Stock, Broken Trend — The Reversal MapNovo Nordisk is a clean example of why quality alone is not an entry.
Fundamentally, this is not a weak business.
But technically, the chart is still under pressure.
On the daily timeframe, NVO remains trapped inside a broad bearish channel after a major decline from its highs. The first bearish ABC target has already been reached, but the larger bearish sequence still leaves room for a deeper capitulation move if buyers fail to reclaim structure.
The key detail here is the rejected BC zone .
Price pushed into the upper BC area, tested it, and sellers defended it. That keeps the bearish lower-high structure alive. So I am not treating the current price as a confirmed reversal yet.
This is the map I’m watching:
Bearish case:
As long as price stays below the descending structure and fails to reclaim the BC zone, the larger bearish C target remains open. That lower pink target area could become the real panic zone where weak hands get forced out.
Bullish case:
If price drives lower into that target area, then starts showing real displacement, market structure shift, and strong reclaim behavior, NVO becomes very interesting. Not because it “looks cheap,” but because the downside sequence would be mature and buyers would finally be proving themselves.
For me, the clean reversal confirmation would be:
Price sweeps deeper liquidity or taps the larger bearish C target zone
Buyers step in with displacement, not weak sideways candles
Daily structure shifts bullish
Price reclaims the bearish channel
BC zone turns from resistance into support
Only then does the upside map open.
First major upside objective would be the rejected BC region around the mid-$60s.
After that, the old bearish target / supply area near the $80–$90 region becomes the next logical magnet.
My read:
NVO is a quality company inside a damaged chart.
That combination can create major opportunity, but only after structure confirms.
Buying just because the stock is down is emotional.
Waiting for capitulation, reclaim, and structure shift is disciplined.
The chart is not saying “buy now.”
It is saying: prepare, mark the levels, and wait for proof.
Not financial advice.
Gold Long - UpdatedD: Downtrend, respecting the highs
4H: Downtrend, price hit -61.8 and broke above trend line
1H: Uptrend, price retraced 38.2% so far + RSI is bullish.
CURRENTLY: Price gapped short on market open so I'm looking for price to retest H1 trendline, then go long to close the gap and then continue long to previous support/resistance zone
Bitcoin BTC price analysis for next 2 monthOKX:BTCUSDT is holding the upper part of the corrective channel, which makes a short-term bounce quite likely in the coming days.
📈 Bounce targets:
▪️ minimum: $76,900–77,300
▪️ maximum: possible push toward $80,500
📉 But on a bigger picture, nothing has changed for CRYPTOCAP:BTC :
we still expect a final move down to the $56–57k zone.
🤔 What do you think — final flush coming or already forming a bottom?
______________
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
ASML: Potential ContinuationASML has consolidated since the year began, but some traders may think it’s ready to continue higher.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price zone around $1,400. It’s near two peaks in March and a 50 percent retracement of its March 30-April 14 rally. It’s also slightly below the 50-day simple moving average. ASML is holding all three.
Second, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA and MACD is rising. Those signals may reflect positive short-term momentum.
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day DMA. That may reflect a bullish longer-term trend.
Finally, ASML is a major player in the semiconductor industry, which is currently leading the market thanks to AI demand.
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QCOM | Consolidation Almost Done | LONGQUALCOMM, Inc. engages in developing and commercializing foundational technologies and products used in mobile devices and other wireless products. It operates through the following segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT), Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL), and Qualcomm Strategic Initiatives (QSI). The QCT segment develops and supplies integrated circuits and system software based on technologies for use in voice and data communications, networking, application processing, multimedia, and global positioning system products. The QTL segment grants licenses and provides rights to use portions of the firm's intellectual property portfolio. The QSI segment focuses on opening new or expanding opportunities for its technologies and supporting the design and introduction of new products and services for voice and data communications. The company was founded by Franklin P. Antonio, Adelia A. Coffman, Andrew Cohen, Klein Gilhousen, Irwin Mark Jacobs, Andrew J. Viterbi, and Harvey P. White in July 1985 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.
Gold LongM/W: Uptrend, respecting the lows
D: Downtrend, respecting the highs
4H: Downtrend, price hit -61.8 and broke above trend line
1H: Uptrend, price retraced 38.2% so far + RSI is bullish.
CURRENTLY: I'm looking for price to retest zone @ H4 and H1 trendline, then go long to previous support/resistance zone
$BTC in distribution patternIf you trade the Wyckoff method you'll see that we're possibly forming a UT in Phase B. Once price breaks below $76100 we can confirm this distribution stage. What would invalidate this distribution is a solid candle closing above $79500. Price dropping to 36K is a real possibily after this 50% retracement
BSX long I have been following Boston scientific for years and we rarely get a major dump like this. The stock is down about 45% on some FUD. I redrew the monthly fibs today and we are in my favorite setup, the golden pocket. This lines up with the monthly demand zone nicely. I’d expect over a 15% return for the next five years here.
BTCUSD: Bearish Trend Pausing – Is a Relief Rally Coming?Market Structure
Bitcoin remains in a clear bearish trend, trading inside a descending channel with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Recent price action shows:
Strong impulsive drop breaking previous support
Formation of a new short-term base near 60K–65K
Weak consolidation instead of immediate continuation
This tells one thing: 👉 Sellers are still in control — but momentum is slowing.
📊 Key Zones to Watch
🔵 Major Support Zone: 60K – 65K
Price is reacting multiple times from this area
Indicates demand absorption / accumulation possibility
🔴 50% Fibonacci Level (~78K – 80K)
Classic retracement zone in bearish markets
High probability reaction level if price pulls back
🔴 Bearish Order Block (~95K – 100K)
Strong supply area
If price reaches here, expect aggressive selling
⚙️ Scenario Planning (No Bias, Only Reaction)
📈 Bullish Scenario (Short-Term Relief Move)
If support holds → price likely retraces toward 78K – 80K
This is NOT a trend reversal, just a pullback in a downtrend
📉 Bearish Continuation
If 60K support breaks cleanly
Expect continuation toward lower liquidity zones
⚠️ Important Insight
Most traders will assume:
“Support = Buy”
Wrong.
In a downtrend: 👉 Support often becomes temporary , not reversal.
💡 Smart Take
This is a reaction trade zone , not a conviction long
Best opportunities will come at premium levels (higher prices) , not at support
🏁 Conclusion
Bitcoin is still structurally bearish.
Current price action suggests: ➡️ Either accumulation before a bounce
➡️ Or weak consolidation before another drop
Let the market confirm — don’t predict.
Amazon (AMZN) — Pump Without a Parachute?Here's a polished rewrite for your TradingView idea:
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**Amazon (AMZN) — Pump Without a Parachute?**
AMZN has ripped harder than any other equity on the board this week — and without a single compelling catalyst to justify it. That kind of price action deserves respect, but also a raised eyebrow.
Price is currently wrestling with $200 — a round number, a former support shelf, and the kind of level that acts like a magnet even *after* it's breached. We're above it for now, but the gravitational pull remains.
**The structure:**
- **Upside target / resistance zone:** $230–$240 (and potentially a touch higher). If this pump has legs, that's the likely exhaustion area.
- **First retracement zone:** $213–$218 — where the 50 & 200 EMAs are stacked *and* the 0.5 / 0.618 Fibonacci levels converge. Classic confluence. Hard to ignore.
- **Worst case re-test:** $200 flat. Round numbers don't forgive easily.
**The trade:**
Unless price launches straight to $240 without pausing for breath, a healthy retracement isn't just possible — it's *normal*. I'll be dropping to the 4H chart and hunting a reversal entry over the next 36 hours. If confirmed, I'm looking to short and capture at least 50% of this move back down.
Healthy markets retrace. This one is overdue for a reality check.
📉 *Not financial advice. Manage your risk.*
GBP/USD – Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep + Potential Retracement SetupPrice has rallied strongly into the buy-side liquidity zone around 1.35440, grabbing the liquidity resting above previous equal highs. This move indicates a classic liquidity sweep before a possible pullback.
After the sweep, I’m expecting price to retrace toward the mitigation zone (grey area) before forming a bullish continuation setup.
🔍 Key Points:
• Market tapped into a major liquidity pool at 1.3544
• Strong impulse move suggests short-term exhaustion
• Ideally looking for a retracement into the 1.3515–1.3520 zone
• If buyers step in, we may see continuation toward higher highs
📈 Bias: Bullish after retracement
🎯 Ideal Buy Zone: 1.3515–1.3520
⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 1.3490
🧠 Classic Smart Money play: liquidity grab → pullback → continuation.






















