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GOLD: Waiting For The Buy Model To Set UpIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold for the week of April 27 - May1st. Gold has been going no where but sideways. But I believe that changes this week. Not interested in shorting this market. Not with fundamentals supporting higher prices at the moment. FOMC is Wednesday, and my weaken the USD. That would allow GOLD to surge, as it is struggling to move lower from the -FVG. Patience will allow the market to unfold, and give me a queue to enter a valid buy model. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
13
27/04/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $79,477.16 Last weeks low: $73,733.19 Midpoint: $76,605.17 Another week of positive price action from Bitcoin as the weekly high clocks in just under $80k, a very key level of importance. What happens now should be monitored very closely as the larger directional bias remains bearish but on the lower time frame it's bullish. This looks and feels very much like a bearmarket rally and so it should be treated as such until proven otherwise. For me that invalidation of a bearmarket rally would be a flip and acceptance above $82,500. Should BTC climb above that level I will be looking into how the orderbook reacts, specifically looking at the supply zone structure and what it means for momentum. If it's clear that buyside pressure is being absorbed despite rising volume then the chances of rejection grow. However should their be a spike in sellside pressure at the level but buyers are happily buying what the sellers are selling then i'm seeing signs of a shift in momentum and therefor a bearmarket rally turns into potentially something else entirely.
by ProR35
Gold Weekly Outlook Apr 27 - May 1: Fed Meeting+Microsoft+Apple 📊 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK — Apr 27 — May 1, 2026 XAUUSD Daily | Neutral Verified closing prices — April 24, 2026: 🥇 Gold: $4,710 🛢️ Brent: $99.70 ₿ Bitcoin: $77,801 📊 Dow Mini: 49,423 💶 EUR/USD: 1.1717 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚡ WHAT HAPPENED THIS WEEK: Gold had a difficult week — falling from $4,831 to $4,710 (-2.5%). The reason is paradoxical: There is an active war in the Middle East. Yet gold is FALLING. Why? Three reasons: 1️⃣ CEASEFIRE FATIGUE Iran ceasefire-escalation cycle repeated 4 times in April alone. Markets stopped reacting to headlines. The fear premium has evaporated. 2️⃣ HORMUZ REOPENED When Iran reopened the Strait — the biggest geopolitical catalyst for gold was removed temporarily. 3️⃣ DOLLAR STRENGTH Fed hawkish signals persist. Higher for longer = stronger dollar = headwind for gold. Key technical damage this week: Gold broke BELOW $4,750 support. This level is now RESISTANCE. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔍 TECHNICAL PICTURE (Daily): 🔴 Resistance 2: $4,939 🔴 Resistance 1: $4,800 ← KEY WALL 🟡 Resistance/Support: $4,750 🔵 Current price: $4,710 🟢 Support 1: $4,630 🟢 Support 2: $4,580 Critical question for next week: Can gold reclaim $4,750 and $4,800? Or does it continue toward $4,630? ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈 SCENARIO A — Bullish (40%): Triggers needed: ✅ Fed signals rate cuts coming ✅ Apple/Microsoft disappoint ✅ Iran re-escalation surprise ✅ Weak GDP data Friday → Gold reclaims $4,750 → Target: $4,800 → $4,939 📉 SCENARIO B — Bearish (60%): Triggers: ❌ Fed stays hawkish — no cuts ❌ Strong tech earnings = risk-on ❌ Iran ceasefire holds ❌ Strong GDP data → Gold stays below $4,750 → Retest: $4,630 → $4,580 → Accumulation opportunity ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📅 KEY EVENTS NEXT WEEK: Monday April 27: → No major US data → Iran headlines = main driver → Watch Sunday night open for gap direction Tuesday April 28 🔴: → US Consumer Confidence → JOLTS Job Openings → Microsoft earnings (after close) → Strong MSFT = risk-on = gold neutral → Weak MSFT = fear = gold up Wednesday April 29 🔴🔴 MOST IMPORTANT: → Federal Reserve rate decision → Fed statement + Powell presser → HAWKISH = dollar up = gold down → DOVISH hint = dollar down = gold up → Also: ADP employment data Thursday April 30 🔴: → Apple earnings (after close) → US GDP Q1 2026 (first estimate) → PCE inflation data → Weak GDP = recession fear = gold up → Strong GDP = risk-on = gold neutral Friday May 1: → NFP Jobs Report 🔴 → Most important monthly data → Weak jobs = Fed cuts coming = gold up → Strong jobs = Fed on hold = gold down ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏦 WHY FED MEETING IS CRITICAL: Wednesday April 29 — Fed decision. Markets currently price: → ZERO rate cuts in 2026 → Higher for longer = gold headwind But if Powell hints at cuts: → Dollar drops instantly → Gold surges back above $4,800 → $4,939 target activated This is the single most important event for gold next week. Every other event is secondary. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ MONDAY OPEN WARNING: Weekend Iran headlines could cause significant gaps at Sunday open. Strategy for Monday: → Wait first 30 minutes → See which direction market gaps → Then decide on positioning → Do NOT trade blindly at open ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚖️ OVERALL BIAS: The week's direction decided by Fed on Wednesday. Until then — patience. Follow AI_advisor_ for daily signals on Gold, Oil & Bitcoin. 🎯 ⚠️ Educational purposes only. Manage your risk. Trade safe. 🙏
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AI_advisor_
EURUSD: Could Be Outperformed By The USD This Week!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of April 20-24th! EURUSD is largely considered bullish in the near term, with technical indicators supporting a potential continuation of its recent upward trend, often targeting the 1.1900 -1.200 range. However, the pair faces a critical test near 1.1800-1.1850 with potential for a short-term pullback due to a bearish reversal signal on Friday. Factors to consider: Bearish Risks: A potential correction is expected at the start of the week after a strong rally, with a "bearish reversal" pattern (inverted hammer) spotted on Friday, according to. Macro Drivers: Market sentiment is currently focused on the potential for European Central Bank (ECB) rate hikes, while US inflation data (CPI) could strengthen the dollar and create downside pressure on the Euro. Geopolitical Impact: Continued uncertainty in the Middle East, specifically in the Strait of Hormuz, could drive safe-haven flows toward the dollar, reversing Euro gains. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
2
US Dollar: A Short-term Relief Rally Coming?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of April 20-24th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar What to consider for the upcoming week: Bearish Factors: The DXY is experiencing a broader, ongoing downtrend since Q3 2022 and recently broke below key technical levels, indicating that the downward momentum remains dominant. Lower safe-haven demand, following eased tensions in the Middle East, is curbing the dollar's strength. Short-Term Bullish Potential: The dollar is rebounding off major support (97.50–98.00 range), which could trigger a small, corrective rally to test resistance near 98.69-99.18, with some analysts noting a technical "cup and handle" structure on shorter timeframes. What to Watch: Key technical support lies at 97.50 and 96.65. A failure to hold 97.80-98.00 could open the door for steeper losses, while a move above 99.18 is needed to suggest a larger trend reversal. Upcoming Data: Market participants are looking toward upcoming economic data and speeches from Fed officials to influence the next direction. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
CRUDE OIL: Look For Valid Buys As Tensions Heighten!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the CRUDE OIL for the week of April 20-24th. Crude Oil is seeking buyers amid high volatility. Following a sharp 16% drop late the previous week on reports of a reopened Strait of Hormuz, crude oil enters the April 20-24 trading week looking for buyers to establish a floor. While the immediate panic subsided, traders should watch for renewed volatility as market participants verify if supply disruptions truly ease. - Outlook: Buyers are likely looking to enter on dips, seeking a "valid" level if tensions re-escalate or if OPEC+ maintains a tight supply stance. - Key Driver: The sustainability of the ceasefire and its impact on the $100+ "war premium". Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYMEX:CL1!
by RT_Money
20/04/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $78,353.95 Last weeks low: $70,556.26 Midpoint: $74,455.11 I BTC finally exiting the range, or is this a bear trap? Last week we watched a continuation of the bullish local trend from the start of the week until Friday. With BTC ETFs contributing $1B in net inflows to see price hit a high of just under $78.5K. Also there is the ever present geo-political element to this, a news release that the strait of Hormuz is now re-open fuel the last impulse candle up. However, as has been the story so far this year, positive news gets sold into very quickly as the overall trend remains bearish, therefore selling rips has been the play for some time now and last week was no exception. Although this pattern has continued to play out, where the pullback ends is telling of a potential trend shift or a continuation. The HTF level of $73,750 is the clear line in the sand. As it stands price has retested the level 3 times as new support since the break above. If Bitcoin can remain above and buyers really step in with volume, the next major HTF level for me would be $82,500. This is the bullish target should $73,500 hold. The bearish target is more complex as I do believe there is a significant inefficiency zone that needs retesting above $80K but if buyers are continuing to show weakness and cannot stay above $73,500, a loss of that level would lead to a $70k retest, failing that a $60k retest as per the rangebound environment.
by ProR35
GOLD: Short-Term Bearish Potential To Start The WeekIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold for the week of April 20-24th. Gold looks to be forming a lower high inside of a -FVG on the Daily TF. If it finds resistance and stays below the upper half of the -FVG, we could see some consolidation, drifting downward early in the week. No need to go for a homerun hit. While the short-term indicates a possible, yet moderate, bearish correction, the overarching market sentiment remains supported by strong central bank buying, with some institutions viewing dips as buying opportunities for the longer term. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by RT_Money
XAUUSD — Resistance Now Takes Center StageXAUUSD — Wave 5 Sell Zone Now Becomes the Weekly Decision Point Gold is moving into next week with a very sensitive structure on the chart. The broader trend is no longer in clean expansion mode, and price is now testing a zone where the market must decide whether this is only a temporary rebound inside weakness, or the start of a deeper selloff. For Kelly, this is not the kind of chart to chase emotionally. This is the kind of chart where structure has to lead. Technical structure On the chart, gold is still trading inside a large descending channel, which keeps the broader medium-term tone defensive. The current recovery has pushed price back into the wave 5 sell zone around 4890–4920, and that area matters because it sits right under the upper half of the broader bearish structure. So far, buyers have managed to lift price into resistance, but they have not yet changed the higher-timeframe framework. Below current price, two technical layers stand out: 4554 as the first strong support 4400 area as the next liquidity zone Deeper than that, the chart still keeps a wider long-term target zone near 3700 on the map if the broader bearish wave sequence continues to develop. Wave structure From an Elliott perspective, the current rebound can be read as a recovery into a wave 5 sell area, not a confirmed bullish reversal. That is the key distinction. The market already printed a sharp decline, then rotated higher into resistance. When price rebounds into a mapped sell zone inside a descending channel, the cleaner interpretation is often that the market is completing a corrective phase before deciding whether to continue lower. For Kelly, that keeps the current move highly reactive. If buyers cannot reclaim and hold above the sell zone with real momentum, then this area can become the launch point for the next leg down. What matters next week The weekly map is relatively clean. Bearish scenario If gold remains capped below the 4890–4920 resistance band and starts slipping back under local support, the chart opens room toward 4554 first. If that floor gives way, the next rotation can extend into the 4400 liquidity zone. That path would keep the broader bearish channel intact and support the idea that the market is still trading toward a larger downside objective over time. Bullish invalidation scenario If buyers break and hold above the current sell zone with acceptance, then the bearish wave count weakens. That would force the market into a stronger recovery phase and delay the downside continuation. But right now, the chart is not there yet. Price is testing resistance, not reclaiming structure. Macro backdrop The macro side fits this more cautious technical picture. Fed Governor Christopher Waller has recently sounded careful about easing, with officials emphasizing that rates may need to stay unchanged for longer while inflation risks remain alive. At the same time, broader Fed commentary and Beige Book-style assessments have highlighted that Middle East conflict is adding to U.S. economic uncertainty. That mix can keep gold supported on fear, but it can also delay the kind of policy relief that usually gives gold a cleaner upside tailwind. For Kelly, that creates a market where macro uncertainty supports volatility, but not necessarily a clean bullish continuation. That is why the chart matters even more here. Kelly’s read This is still a resistance-led chart. Gold has rallied into a meaningful sell zone, but it is doing so inside a broader descending channel and without fully breaking the higher-timeframe bearish framework. That keeps the upside fragile unless buyers can prove much more above current levels. For Kelly, the cleaner view into next week is simple: as long as gold stays below the wave 5 sell zone, the path of least resistance remains vulnerable to another move lower. Conclusion Gold enters next week at a technical decision point. The rebound has reached the 4890–4920 wave 5 sell zone, but the broader chart still sits inside a descending channel, with 4554 and 4400 as the next major downside references if resistance holds. The rebound is visible — but unless price reclaims structure above resistance, the chart still looks like a setup where sellers may take control again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kelly_Koou_Gold
2
13/04/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $73,791.59 Last weeks low: $67,763.20 Midpoint: $70,777.39 Bitcoin remains well and truly rangebound, however last weeks range is notably posted a higher weekly high and a higher weekly low than the week previous. Could this be BTC coiling for a break out of the range? Or is this just more choppy noise? It's no secret that Geopolitical events are a major factor in the current market environment, a single tweet is capable of shifting price on the lower time frames but structurally these tweets are just noise as BTC remains rangebound. It takes liquidity and conviction to move the market and right now crypto is lacking both. However BTC ETFs did see $1.32B net inflows which is the largest so far this calendar year, could this be a sign of the sentiment shifting? This week I'm keeping my eye on the inefficiency zones at 0.25 and above 0.75. Currently starting the week at midpoint makes the knowing which zone to target first more difficult. For that reason I would lean towards entering a position at these zones when price reaches it and look for a reaction to the opposite direction.
by ProR35
CRUDE OIL: Peace Talks Failure Favors The Bulls!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the US OIL for the week of April 13-17th. US Crude Oil closed a very bearish week last Friday. The world was optimistic as a cease fire was put in place, and officials from both sides sat at the negotiations table in Islamabad. But the talks failed, and the US imposed a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. This resulted in a gap open above $100.00 a barrel for the new week ahead. Oh boy. We can expect the price for crude to continue to rise in the near term until there is a fundamental change for the better in the Middle East. But do not jump into buys! Wait for the market to confirm buys on a technical basis. When a premium or discount array holds or fails, this is the confirmation signal to enter new trades! Patience. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYMEX:CL1!
by RT_Money
5
GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK — April 13-17, 2026 XAUUSD 📊 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK — April 13-17, 2026 Verified closing prices — April 10, 2026: 🥇 Gold: $4,749 🛢️ Brent: $94.33 ₿ Bitcoin: $73,151 📊 Dow Jones: 48,177 💶 EUR/USD: 1.1725 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚡ WHAT HAPPENED THIS WEEK: Gold had an explosive but confusing week. Three major forces pulled in opposite directions: 🔴 Iran ceasefire talks → gold fell 🟢 Iran rejects deal → gold surged 🔴 Strong NFP (+178K) → dollar up, gold under pressure Net result: Gold closed at $4,749 — DOWN from $4,800+ highs earlier in week. The key lesson this week: $4,800 is a STRONG resistance wall. Gold tested it twice — rejected both times. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔍 TECHNICAL PICTURE (Daily): 🔴 Resistance 2: $4,900 🔴 Resistance 1: $4,800 ← KEY WALL 🟡 Current price: $4,749 🟡 Support 1: $4,700 🟢 Support 2: $4,630 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈 SCENARIO A — Bullish (40%): Triggers needed: ✅ Iran rejects ceasefire again ✅ PPI Tuesday comes in cool ✅ JPMorgan misses expectations ✅ Dollar weakens → Gold breaks above $4,800 → Target: $4,900 → $4,955 📉 SCENARIO B — Bearish (60%): Triggers: ❌ Hot PPI Tuesday (forecast 1.3%) ❌ JPMorgan beats expectations ❌ Dollar strengthens on Fed hawks ❌ Iran ceasefire progress → Gold stays below $4,800 → Retest: $4,700 → $4,630 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📅 KEY EVENTS NEXT WEEK: Monday April 13 ⚠️: → Easter Monday — London CLOSED → Thin liquidity = gap risk → Do NOT trade Sunday night → Wait for Tuesday open Tuesday April 14 🔴 MOST IMPORTANT: → JPMorgan earnings (before open) → PPI m/m (forecast +1.3% vs +0.7%) → Core PCE data → ADP employment change Wednesday April 15: → EIA crude inventories → NY Empire State Manufacturing → Fed speakers Thursday April 16: → Jobless Claims (forecast 216K) → Philadelphia Fed Index → Industrial Production Friday April 17: → Fed Barkin speech → Fed Waller speech ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏦 WHY JPMORGAN QUARTER RESULTS MATTERS FOR GOLD: JPMorgan reports results for previous quarter Tuesday April 14. First major bank of Q1 2026 season. JPM BEATS → risk-on → stocks up → dollar strengthens → gold sideways JPM MISSES → recession fear rises → safe-haven demand → gold surges Watch the reaction — not the number. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 THE BIGGER PICTURE: Gold is up 20%+ in 2026 despite the correction from $5,595 highs. This is structural strength. Central banks keep buying. Iran conflict keeps smoldering. US labor market keeps weakening. Long-term targets remain: Goldman Sachs: $5,400 JPMorgan: $6,300 Current weakness = accumulation zone. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚖️ OVERALL BIAS: NEUTRAL $4,749 is no man's land. Too far from support to short safely. Too far from resistance to long safely. Wait for Tuesday's JPMorgan + PPI. That will set the week's direction. Follow AI_advisor_ for daily signals on Gold, Oil & Bitcoin. 🎯 ⚠️ Educational purposes only. Manage your risk. Trade safe. 🙏
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AI_advisor_
06/04/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $69,310 Last weeks low: $65,712.12 Midpoint: $67,511.06 As geopolitical tensions continue, as does the BTC range between low 70k's and mid 60k's. So far the bulls nor the bears have found the momentum to break this trading range, very difficult to suggest any trade idea other than SFP of the range extremes until proven otherwise. This week we have seen an early push above the weekly high. Current trading environment dictates that a SFP is on the cards and a fill of the inefficiency towards midpoint. Should price sit above the weekly high long enough to find acceptance perhaps there may be signs of a trend shift but as the market is still just reacting to news of the conflict in the Middle-East, I will react as such. FOMC minutes and CPI at the end of the week will be an important data release as inflation fears grow. All eyes continue to be on President Trumps X feed, however the chart shows the larger big picture. Neither side is willing to commit to breaking this range, the base continues to be built through chop and until there is a breakout the rest is noise.
by ProR35
Gold Weekly Outlook Apr 6-10 — War, Dollar & CPI: Three Forces 📊 WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK — April 6-10, 2026 Verified closing prices heading into next week: 🥇 Gold (XAUUSD): $4,767.70 (Thu Apr 2 close) 🛢️ Brent Crude: $109.06 (Thu Apr 2 close) ₿ Bitcoin: $67,151 (current) 📊 S&P 500 Mini (ES): $6,603.07 (Fri Apr 3 close) Markets were closed Good Friday April 3. All eyes on Monday April 6 open. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚡ THE KEY STORY THIS WEEK: The Iran conflict remains the dominant driver across ALL markets. Two powerful forces are fighting each other: 🔴 BEARISH FORCE: Strong US Dollar + rising Treasury yields overwhelming safe-haven gold demand 🟢 BULLISH FORCE: Iran war risk + Hormuz disruption keeping supply fears and fear premium elevated This tug of war will define gold's direction every single day next week. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔍 TECHNICAL PICTURE (Daily chart): ⚡ KEY SIGNAL: Gold is currently BELOW EMA 50 ($4,794) but ABOVE EMA 200 ($4,247). This means: → Short-term: BEARISH pressure dominates → Long-term: Bull trend still intact Bulls MUST reclaim EMA 50 at $4,794 to restore confidence and target $5,000. Failure to do so = continued weakness. KEY LEVELS: 🔴 Resistance 2: $5,000 — psychological wall 🔴 Resistance 1: $4,820 — key ceiling 🔵 Thu close / Current: $4,677 🟡 Support 1: $4,630 — must hold for bulls 🟢 Support 2: $4,550 — critical floor ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈 SCENARIO A — Bullish (40% probability): Iran escalates further over Easter weekend Safe-haven demand returns at Monday open Dollar weakens on ceasefire delay Gold reclaims EMA 50 at $4,794 → Target 1: $4,820 → Target 2: $5,000 📉 SCENARIO B — Bearish (60% probability): Easter weekend peace talk headlines emerge Dollar stays strong on hawkish Fed signals Hot CPI Friday confirms inflation risk Gold stays below EMA 50 and breaks $4,630 → Target 1: $4,550 → Target 2: $4,400 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🛢️ OIL SIGNAL TO WATCH: Brent closed at $109.06 Thursday. Oil direction will hint at gold direction. If oil drops on ceasefire news → gold safe-haven demand fades too. If oil stays above $105 → gold supported by ongoing fear premium. ₿ BITCOIN NOTE: BTC holding near $67,151. Key level: $67,000 support must hold. Break below → risk of drop to $65,000. ETF inflows slowly returning — watch for institutional accumulation signal. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📅 KEY EVENTS THIS WEEK ⚠️ Monday April 6 — HIGH RISK OPEN: → Markets reopen after 3-day Easter break → London & European markets CLOSED (Easter Monday — reduced liquidity) → Gap risk HIGH at open → Do NOT trade Sunday night → Wait first 2 hours before entering Tuesday April 7: → Fed speakers — watch for rate signals → Any Iran/ceasefire weekend headlines Wednesday April 8: → FOMC Minutes released → Reveals Fed's real thinking on rates → High impact on dollar → affects gold → Hawkish minutes = bearish gold → Dovish minutes = bullish gold Thursday April 9: → US PCE Price Index → Key Fed inflation measure Friday April 10 🔴 MOST IMPORTANT DAY: → US CPI Inflation Data — main event → Germany CPI → University of Michigan Sentiment → Hot CPI (above 3.5%) = gold down → Cool CPI (below 3.0%) = gold up ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ MONDAY OPEN WARNING: Three days of Iran headlines accumulated with zero market reaction. Monday open could GAP $50-150 in gold. STRATEGY FOR NEXT WEEK: → Do NOT trade Sunday night → Wait Monday open to see direction → Reduce position size — high uncertainty → Let CPI Friday set the tone for April ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚖️ OVERALL GOLD BIAS: CAUTIOUS NEUTRAL Below EMA 50 = short-term bearish pressure Above EMA 200 = long-term bull trend intact Iran + FOMC Minutes + CPI = maximum uncertainty. Let the market decide first. Follow AI_advisor_ for daily signals on Gold, Oil & Bitcoin all next week. 🎯 ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes. Always manage your risk. Trade safe. 🙏
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AI_advisor_
30/03/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $72,026.09 Last weeks low: $65,000 Midpoint: $68,513.05 I said in last weeks outlook that the winner of the battle at the midpoint would go on to either test the either the weekly highs at $76,000 if the bulls flipped the midpoint, or if price rejected a test at $65,000 support would be on the cards should the bears remain in control. To the exact penny the bears pulled off a retest of that level with a large sell-off candle in the last hours of the week to tag the area. Since then in the opening hours of this week we've seen another bounce up, strong reaction from the bulls and looking to test the midpoint already. With no notable data releases this week and only the Geopolitical news to react to I could see price retesting the inefficiency zones at 0.75 and of course midpoint. The overall trend is still bearish and with the SPX continuing to roll over as crude oil soars and no end to the conflict in sight, something drastic would have to happen to change the trend of this market in the short term.
by ProR35
GBPUSD: Bearish! Look For Sells!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Mar. 30 - Apr 3. GBPUSD is going to close this month bearishly, and is likely to see this momentum continue into April. Selling is the best best. Any short term pullbacks I will look for the sell model to form for sell entries. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
EURUSD: The Bears Dominated March, With April Likely To FollowWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Mar. 30 - Apr. 3. EURUSD is looking to close the month of March bearish, with plenty of momentum. Look for that momentum to continue into this week. Any short term pullback may present a good short entry. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
23/03/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $76,018.25 Last weeks low: $67,370.03 Midpoint: $71,694.14 Coming into the final full week of Q1 2026, where is Bitcoin in terms of price action? Last week BTC capped at $76,000 which briefly broke out of the 6 week range above $74,500 but couldn't maintain that breakout before falling back within the range. The overall HTF downtrend still has strong momentum and with Geopolitical influences also making risk-on difficult it's not surprising to see BTC reject. I still believe that the first real test for a change of market structure and a flip to a more bullish outlook would be acceptance above $79,000 key level. The fact the bulls couldn't push for a retest of that area still shows the weakness in the market. $65,000 is support and I would not rule out another retests of that level at some point soon. With Tradfi markets also rolling over and looking weak BTC would likely get dragged down with that too despite its relative strength in the last week. This weeks midpoint is as always very important as to which direction BTC will head to first, another leg up in the bear market rally or the next leg down?
by ProR35
4
16/03/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $73,908.52 Last weeks low: $65,821.97 Midpoint: $69,865.24 For the first time since the beginning of 2026 BTC printed a weekly move that started the week at the lows and ended right up at the highs, a bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows progressively throughout the week. Going into this week the bulls will aim to break above the $72,500 range high with acceptance after multiple attempts at doing so. IF that were to happen, from there working back up towards $79,000-$82,000 resistance level would be the first important HTF target. In the short term the bulls would want to avoid an early SFP of the weekly high which would leave a mean reversion play for the bears as we have seen so often in the last few weeks, repetitive and constant rejection of the range high bringing price back towards the 2021 ATH of $69,000, which would be around the midpoint & VAL for last week. The bears are looking weaker as it stands given that the bulls have looked to pick up momentum, however it's the Geopolitical landscape and by extension Tradfi that would give the bears reason to believe there is more downside in BTC to come. The SPX has continued to sell off and American stocks have taken a back seat to the energy sector and oil mostly. The SPX lost 4H 200 EMA support for the first time since the Trade war sell-off of April 2025 nearly a full year ago. So far the drawdown has been gradual but if there was a larger sell-off on indices BTC would follow in my opinion.
by ProR35
GBPUSD: Wait For Valid Sell Setups! Sell The Rip! Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Mar. 9-13th. GBPUSD is weak against the USD safe haven, especially during geo-political conflicts. Wait for valid sell setups, and ride the price down. There is potential for a short term rally into -FVGs. Those would be higher probability sell setups to take. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
5
09/03/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $74,052.14 Last weeks low: $65,257.85 Midpoint: $69,654.99 Last week BTC swept the $74,000 supply zone after a strong midweek rally, however in true bear market fashion the rally was short lived and the overall HTF momentum pushed BTC back down towards the chop zone between $68,000. That retrace has left some target areas for the bulls this week to attempt some mean reversion moves towards. The midpoint as always is a key pivot point but this week it also has an inefficiency zone and key high placed there. Also a very small inefficiency zone at 0.75 line would be a key target as the breakdown towards $68,000 happened just under that level. Due to that plenty of Stop losses will be placed there by traders shorting as it would be perceived as a "safe stop" making it the perfect long target area. From a HTF perspective the pull is still to the downside for now, I am not satisfied that the base/chop has taken place for long enough to have sellers exhausted yet, the moving averages are still very much trending strongly and therefor resistance levels not necessarily ready to be flipped and act as support. I do think that sentiment changes if price is accepted above weekly high, that would be a new higher high and higher low and therefor a much more appealing structure.
by ProR35
EURUSD: Sell The Rip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Mar. 9-13th. EURUSD closed last week bearish, with a lot of momentum. Look to sell this momentum investors move money from it to safe havens.... like the USD. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
14
US Dollar: Flight To Safe Havens Has Begun! Bullish!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Mar 2-6th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar THE USD is a global safe haven. Expect it to make gains during this period of conflict between the US/Israel and Iran. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
2